Poll: Whan chance do you give Bernie Sanders of winning the Democratic nomination?

With all due respect.

Time will tell, one way or another.

I say FAIR chance.

It's not good but it's not poor either, I say it's going to hinge on winning IA and NH and gaining momentum coming out of it. IA isn't a dealbreaker but without a strong showing there it's going to be really difficult.

I want him to win, but I'm not stupid, it's a long shot.

I very briefly met him in 1982 soon after he had been elected Mayor of Burlington. He is who I want to win the nomination and become President. But he is a longshot. But, we have seen longshots win before. And win or lose this movement has a real possibility of laying the foundation for a long term national movement. When Barry Goldwater lost the 1964 election to LBJ in a massive landslide that was not the end of the rightwing of the Republican Party - it was its birth. I contrast that to when George McGovern lost by a roughly equivalent landslide in 1972 - it became the conventional wisdom that is argued even today that a real liberal and progressive is not electable. Well the rightwing of the Republican Party didn't just give up like that - they made rightwing extremist electable and the Barry Goldwater movement laid the foundation for making the far right electable. We at should least be able to make the New Deal mainstream again, can't we? It is my minimal hope that Sen. Sanders campaign can be the foundation to make the New Deal and Great Society or perhaps even social-democracy mainstream again.