2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP: Obama +7 in MICHIGAN
Nevertheless Obama still has a healthy lead. That reflects the fact that despite his ties to the state, Michigan voters just don't embrace Romney. Only 45% have a favorable opinion of him to 49% with an unfavorable one. They don't accept Romney as one of their own either- only 34% consider him to be a Michigander to 57% who do not.
One thing that's definitely not helping Romney in Michigan is the position he took on the auto bailout. 53% of voters think Obama has been better for the automotive industry in the state compared to only 31% for Romney. And this is something voters care about- 80% of voters say the candidates' record on the automotive industry is important to them, and 48% deem it to be 'very important.'
Each candidate has his party base pretty much locked up. Obama is winning 91% of Democratic voters, while Romney is taking 89% of Republican voters. Obama has the advantage overall thanks to a 54-38 lead with independents.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/09/obama-up-7-in-michigan.html
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)cheezmaka
(737 posts)sufrommich
(22,871 posts)As a Michigander, I couldn't be happier to see Romney go down in the state he was born in.
TroyD
(4,551 posts)Romney doesn't care about Michigan.
He left 40 years ago and went elsewhere to make his fortune and career.
He doesn't even own a home there. He has homes in New Hampshire, Massachusetts and California. So why not Michigan?
He only comes back when he wants their votes. And then he says ridiculous things like 'the trees are the right height'.
sufrommich
(22,871 posts)most was his gleeful willingness to let the car companies die. I don't think most will forget that before November. Romney has absolutely plastered his ads on television here in Metro Detroit( probably 6 or 7 Romney ads for every Obama ad) to no avail.
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Remember, McCain was much closer in MI much later in the campaign, and it was a big deal when he pulled his ads - in late September, if I remember correctly. For Obama to be running an outright majority in Mitt's home state at this point means it's out of reach, and will go Obama easily. Change to hard blue, and make Mitt's mountain a bit tougher to climb.
Ashleyshubby
(81 posts)Obama up in CO and MI. that's not good for R.
jimlup
(7,968 posts)My home town of Ann Arbor will play a big role in that! Go Blue!!!!!!!
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)(They hate that, given the dumb ass Red Dawn link in!)
catbyte
(34,165 posts)I live in Grand Rapids and have seen no Romney signs or bumper stickers. I have had a Dogs Against Romney, Cat Division bumpersticker on my car for almost a month and have had a dozen people ask me where they could get one. This is not scientific at all but in 2008 Kent County went blue for the first time since 1964 and 2012 feels like a repeat of 2008.
Diane
Anishinaabe in MI
woolldog
(8,791 posts)34% Republican
33% Dem
It's a base election, which means anyone can win. If either party's base doesn't get to the voting booth, then they will lose, regardless of what the polls say
alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)So we just left that duty to you and your bullshit.