2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDems now view Socialism more favorably than Capitalism
from https://today.yougov.com/news/2015/10/17/debate-recap-most-americans-agree-bernie-about-hil/
(emphasis mine)
The times they are a'changing...
daleanime
(17,796 posts)thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)It could happen.
And I suspect that, a year+ before Obama's election, there were probably more people bothered by the idea of an AA in the WH than there are today bothered about the prospect of a Democratic Socialist!
But we'll see...
LoveIsNow
(356 posts)to reopen people's minds to the idea of government helping people rather than always being the enemy (though he sort of tried to argue both sides sometimes).
It definitely took chutzpah to say "you didn't build that!"
I think the shift has been coming for a while.
RichVRichV
(885 posts)No clue, we'll just have to wait and see. But it will definitely help future candidates now that the word is no longer toxic to a good chunk of the electorate.
Ever since certain people started rolling out polls showing that 50% of the population would never vote for a socialist, I just kept reminding them that having 50% already willing to in spite of half a century of demonizing the word with no real advocates was amazing. Now that Bernie is showing how much good mixed socialism/capitalism can do, people are finally warming up to the concept.
This only bodes well for shifting politics back to the left.
7962
(11,841 posts)Her minions are hard at work to prevent it.
Chan790
(20,176 posts)I expect that in the first mid-term, it's going to be Sanders and Warren getting more Democrats elected to Congress than Clinton and if we do ever regain Congressional majorities under Clinton should she win, it'll be Congress dictating agenda to the WH, not vice-versa.
7962
(11,841 posts)Do you really think she would allow Congress to dictate to HER? I certainly dont
But she is the horse the Dems will have to ride in '16. Bernie gave her a pass on her ethics and by doing so lost his biggest advantage.
So far it looks like the GOP wont nominate the one man I think would be a formidable opponent, Kasich.
So it's going to be Hillary
JRLeft
(7,010 posts)hifiguy
(33,688 posts)It is blindingly obvious that she is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the oligarchs and the MIIC.
JRLeft
(7,010 posts)hifiguy
(33,688 posts)and give the oligarchy whatever it wanted was named Jimmy Carter.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)What is that old saying - lead, follow, or get out of the way?
sabrina 1
(62,325 posts)to explain why you 'made a mistake'. Bernie otoh, took the initiative on most of the controversial issues.
FreakinDJ
(17,644 posts)Hydra
(14,459 posts)This is capitalism in an increasingly pure form. Beautiful, isn't it? It consumes everything available, including souls.
ToxMarz
(2,162 posts)Every economy is a mix of principles, getting the right mix is what matters.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)and they generally put up a candidate. I don't really know anything about them, though.
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)Who knows what they advocate?
The list is at
http://www.politics1.com/p2016.htm
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)ToxMarz
(2,162 posts)Capitalism and socialism (and every other economic principle) are ideas. They are tools. People treat them like their favorite sports team. Neither is good or evil, neither deserve anyone's allegiance. Deciding when and when not to use them, or how they should used and regulated in conjunction with use of the others is what Government and society should be arguing about, not fighting about which tool should be thrown out of the tool box.
Ed Suspicious
(8,879 posts)Hydra
(14,459 posts)And with climate change and increasingly unusable environments it has created, it's pretty much an unsustainable luxury for us now.
I'm sure we'll still do it 'til it kills us though- bad ideas are like that.
Mnpaul
(3,655 posts)Socialism without Capitalism is Communism
Capitalism without Socialism is Fascism
we are tilting to far towards Capitalism right now
ToxMarz
(2,162 posts)And it could fit on a bumper sticker, which apparently seems to be good for spreading important messages.
And yes, the mix is way off balance.
PowerToThePeople
(9,610 posts)You do not understand the differences between socialism and communism.
FreakinDJ
(17,644 posts)Why have we "Socialized" Corporate responsibility and created a tax code were many Corporations pay ZERO taxes
Why have we "Socialized" the R&D cost
Hydra
(14,459 posts)You get other people to foot your bill so your profit margin increases. While some people have tried to get socialism to become more accepted by pointing out how the Weathly use it, in practice it's much closer to robbery or simply leaving a mess for someone else to clean up.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)Socialism for the rich, and to the nth degree.
The sharpest part of the wedge of capitalism straight up the asses of everyone else.
AgingAmerican
(12,958 posts)hifiguy
(33,688 posts)will inevitably devolve fairly rapidly into fascism. We're most of the way there already, and Bubba and Obama did more than their share of the pushing.
"Fascism should more properly be called corporatism, since it is the merger of state and corporate power."
Giovanni Gentile, the house philosopher of Italian Fascism (though most often attributed to Mussolini)
Hydra
(14,459 posts)Power gathers in fewer and fewer hands from all possible sources. Capital, Gov't and Crime begin to merge into the same block of people, and they in turn suck more and more out of the system to feed themselves with.
FDR simply delayed the inevitable.
hifiguy
(33,688 posts)They were patient, and they seized power on 11/22/1963 after outlasting Truman and Eisenhower. And Allen Dulles was almost certainly the man who gave the final word to proceed with the Deep State's coup against democracy. Dallas was his M.O. all over again.
Uncle Joe
(58,275 posts)Thanks for the thread, thesqaunderer.
appalachiablue
(41,102 posts)dae
(3,396 posts)FairWinds
(1,717 posts)As well they should !!
restorefreedom
(12,655 posts)go bernie!
sadoldgirl
(3,431 posts)to run within the D party was the hope to
make him look as a weird un-American sample
to give HRC the "reasonable" voice.
It did not turn out to be quite as easy as
they thought - eh?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Who make up the majority of the voters in this country. His socialist label is a huge liability in the general election.
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)One is, a 6 point turnaround among Dems in 5 months is pretty impressive, especially considering that the campaign is in its early stages (no TV ads yet, no campaigning in many states) and something like 20-30% of dems don't even know who he is yet.
Also, as I alluded to in another thread, I don't think being anti-socialist is necessarily even a deep conviction among those who say they consider it a negative. It may be a gut reaction, but could still be nothing they have thought deepely about or really care much about. And also, some people are understanding that there are different "flavors" of socialism. I think we're seeing both of those ideas refelected in the fact that this poll shows that 23% of Dems view socialism UNfavorably, yet only 6% say they would be less likely to vote for someone if they were a Democratic Socialist. Point being that a large percentage of people responding negatively to the socialist label does not automatically equate to those same people actually ruling out voting for Sanders on that basis.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)the barrage of negative ads from the RW attack machine have not happened yet. It's a gift to the Republicans and a huge liability to overcome if Bernie should somehow become the D nominee.
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)but luckily, the electoral map favors the Dem in November regardless, so either of them at least starts with an edge over the Republicans. And current polls show them doing about equally well overall against the various Republican contendors, see http://www.270towin.com/2016-polls/2016-general-election-matchups/ - which is kind of surprising considering that BS is so much less well known... but I guess that speaks to probably HRC's biggest liability, her high unfavorable rating. Lots of people may be against a socialist in the abstract... but lots of people are against the actual candidate of HRC.
Apart from the obvious "liability" they both share, that some people won't vote for the Dem candidate no matter what, each has their own unique set of liabilities. Positions aside, I assume some people won't vote for HRC because she's a woman, some won't vote for her simply because she's Hillary Clinton. Similarly, some won't vote for BS because he's some kind of Socialist, some presumably won't vote for him because he's Jewish.
I don't think BS will get the nomination. But if by some chance he did, I think he would be more likely to prevail in November (or prevail by a greater amount), for reasons I described in post #139 at http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251697741
Related to that, I think he has the potential for bigger coattails downticket, because I think he would motivate a bigger turnout among those who traditionally are less inclined to vote.
There's also the interesting article at
http://www.nbcnews.com/meet-the-press/first-read-we-dont-our-candidates-very-much-n448411
which shows how optimistic Americans feel about the prospect of various potential presidents
Clinton: 43% optimistic/satisfied, 56% uncertain/pessimistic (-13)
(both rated higher than ANY Republican)
...and I think an important point there is that almost everyone has an opinion about HRC, whereas the 50% uncertain/pessimistic about Sanders would include people who just aren't sufficiently familiar with him yet (they would be some amount of "uncertain" , so his optimistic figure is much more likely to significantly increase than HRC's would.
In short, I think his road to the nomination is much tougher than his road from there to the presidency would be.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)But I think you misjudge Sanders liabilities. I am sure the right-wing will dig up all sorts of dirt and possible dirt on Sanders and exaggerate it and lie about it and make up all sorts of controversy about it. They will coordinate all the RW media and talks shows and politicians to keep saying the same thing over and over again until many people believe it.
This they have done this to the Clintons already many many times. The Clinton team is ready and prepared and knows how to fight back. Sanders is a newbie to all this and will probably be shocked by whats coming and may not be able to react fast enough to put out the fires.
This is big leagues now.. his experiences running for Vermont senate do not prepare him for this. I am sure he has some big league people on his team but the candidate has to be ready also.
We have a very strong candidate in Hillary Clinton. She proved that in the Benghazi hearing. She is a fighter, she is smart, she is confident and she can win... and will win.
RichVRichV
(885 posts)It's not like he just started calling himself a socialist.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)I think over that long period of time he's proven he a good guy regardless of how people feel about the label.
The problem for Bernie is he is somewhat new to the national stage so I dont think there is time to establish that sort of reputation he has in Vermont.
RichVRichV
(885 posts)Fortunately he still has a year to work on that.
And the reputation for honesty he cultivated in Vermont is benefitting him, even among people new to him. It's easier to sell something when people don't think your trying to pull one over on them.
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)...but he doesn't have that much time to get the nomination! I think he's going to have to have at least a reasonably respectable showing on Super Tuesday (March 1) to be able to keep going.
RichVRichV
(885 posts)We were discussing views by Republicans and independents which applies primarily to the general election. Hence the comment on having that long to win those groups over.
Obviously he has to win the primary before the general matters. But the primary is mostly among Democrats whom a sufficient number already find socialism an acceptable option according to the poll in the OP.
He has to win over the Democrats (and some crossover votes) soon. He has time to work on winning over the Republicans and Independents (at least enough to win the presidency) assuming he gets that far.
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)frizzled
(509 posts)nt
thesquanderer
(11,971 posts)...is why they would not be so heavily invested in the labels for it to actually make a major impact on their final choice, regardless of their generally positive or negative preconceptions.