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Mon Jul 23, 2012, 07:45 AM

I saw something strange at Nate Silver's "538" Florida is slightly blue..

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Nate projects that Florida has a 51.6 chance of going for Obama.
(I have to remember this is late July, still)

6 replies, 2916 views

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Reply I saw something strange at Nate Silver's "538" Florida is slightly blue.. (Original post)
Stuart G Jul 2012 OP
BumRushDaShow Jul 2012 #1
Troy Cookin with Gas Jul 2012 #2
zipplewrath Jul 2012 #3
Stuart G Aug 2012 #4
gkhouston Aug 2012 #5
Stuart G Sep 2012 #6

Response to Stuart G (Original post)

Mon Jul 23, 2012, 08:08 AM

1. Well he did miraculously win it in 2008

I wouldn't rule it out completely... considering the fan club that he had when there last week!

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Response to Stuart G (Original post)

Tue Jul 24, 2012, 01:22 PM

2. oh yeah

 

Florida is looking strong 4 sure

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Response to Stuart G (Original post)

Tue Jul 24, 2012, 01:32 PM

3. One of the contested states

Obama will make it be one of the contested states. Win or lose, if Romney has to spend alot of time down here, it will hurt him. Obama doesn't need to win Florida, but Romney can't afford to lose it. If he has to spend alot of time down here it will hurt him in multiple ways. The things he'll have to say will hurt him elsewhere (alot of folks down here really like that the medicare "donut hole" has been closed). And the state basically moves as the central corridore moves. That stretch from Tampa to Daytona has a wide variety of people in it, but it is as much "midwestern" as it is "southern". He can't play to one stereotype, and that will play into his "this guy says anything to win" problem.

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Response to zipplewrath (Reply #3)

Mon Aug 13, 2012, 06:48 PM

4. As if today, Aug 13..that has gone up to 55.1 percent..not 51 percent..

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

Check it yourself...

Maybe with the Ryan Plan,,it will go much higher for us...let us hope so..

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Response to Stuart G (Original post)

Mon Aug 13, 2012, 08:41 PM

5. With Ryan anchoring the ticket (in more ways than one), I expect Florida will get even bluer. n/t

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Response to Stuart G (Original post)

Sun Sep 9, 2012, 08:24 AM

6. Now, Florida is much more blue..65.5 chance of going for Obama..as of 9/9/12

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/


hit the link, and scroll down...you will see the change in 6 weeks..
Clinton is down there today..according to posts at DU.

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