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Mon Jan 23, 2012, 08:35 AM

What if Gingrich Wins Florida?

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/01/22/what_if_gingrich_wins_florida.html

What if Gingrich Wins Florida?


John Heilemann: "If Gingrich wins Florida, the Republican Establishment is going to have a meltdown that makes Three Mile Island look like a marshmallow roast."

"Why? Because the Establishment will be staring down the barrel of two utterly unpalatable choices. On the one hand, Gingrich's national favorable-unfavorable ratings of 26.5 and 58.6 percent, respectively make him not just unelectable against Obama but also mean that he would likely be a ten-ton millstone around the necks of down-ballot Republican candidates across the country. And on the other, Romney has shown in two successive contests -- one in a bellwether Republican state, the other in a key swing state -- an inability to beat his deeply unpopular rival. If this scenario unfolds, the sound of GOP grandees whispering calls for a white knight... will be deafening."

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Arrow 22 replies Author Time Post
Reply What if Gingrich Wins Florida? (Original post)
babylonsister Jan 2012 OP
izquierdista Jan 2012 #1
hallowell Jan 2012 #18
Douglas Carpenter Jan 2012 #2
DavidDvorkin Jan 2012 #13
kemah Jan 2012 #3
earthside Jan 2012 #4
ecstatic Jan 2012 #7
Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #11
KharmaTrain Jan 2012 #17
Liberal_Stalwart71 Jan 2012 #19
JustABozoOnThisBus Jan 2012 #5
HopeHoops Jan 2012 #6
spin Jan 2012 #8
AlinPA Jan 2012 #9
spin Jan 2012 #15
Major Hogwash Jan 2012 #10
JaneQPublic Jan 2012 #12
thatsrightimirish Jan 2012 #14
KharmaTrain Jan 2012 #16
alphafemale Jan 2012 #20
Mosaic Jan 2012 #21
Bolo Boffin Jan 2012 #22

Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 08:36 AM

1. Get out the popcorn!

 

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Response to izquierdista (Reply #1)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 05:29 PM

18. Mitt as front runner

Ive been surprised that the media (online and TV) keep writing off Newt by saying Mitt is the inevitable front runner. The more they say this the more primary voters feel empowered to vote for Newt.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 09:00 AM

2. currently Intrade is speculating a 50% chance Gingrich will win Florida versus a 47.5% chance Romney

will win Florida -- we can only hope..

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Response to Douglas Carpenter (Reply #2)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:05 PM

13. It's better than that, now: 58.8% to 41.2%

I'm becoming obsessed with Intrade.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 09:12 AM

3. Newt by 14

Fl is a close primary. This is the state that gave us Rubio, Scott, West, and defeated Grayson. Enough said. Gingrich knows how to play the tea party like a fiddle. He is devious, smart, and articulate. He is quick to response. Romney has memorized his talking points and when he goes off script he just blows it. With less debaters, they get to talk more and that will be to the advantage of Gingrich and disadvantage to Romney. The more Romney talks the more he blabbers and rambles.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 09:24 AM

4. There is enough time ...

I heard Larry Sabato on the Bill Press radio show this morning say that there are enough primaries yet to come (and still open for candidates to qualify for the ballot), that someone could still get into the race as late as March and still be able to get the delegates to become nominated.

I think Romney really is on the edge, if not already toppling over. His taxes will probably make him one of the most "unsuited to the times" candidates ever ... and a win by Gingrich in Florida will be devastating.

Gingrich cannot get elected and he is a disaster for down-ticket Repuglicans.

So, I predict that if Noot does win Florida, there will be a 'white knight' coming into the GOP contest next month. The downside for Democrats of the Repuglicans starting the nomination process so early is that they have time to repair the damage they have done to themselves so far.

Big question, of course, is who could this 'white knight' be? The GOP has such a shallow bench ... Sen. Thune? Jeb Bush? Mitch Daniels? Sarah Palin?

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Response to earthside (Reply #4)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:19 PM

7. Please let it be Palin

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Response to earthside (Reply #4)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:44 PM

11. We don't even see T-Paw out there anymore pimpin' his candidate. Perhaps he got out too early.

 

Perhaps he's wishing that he had stayed in??!??!?

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Response to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #11)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 05:26 PM

17. T-Paw Works For Mittens Gecko Now...

He was one of the "pitbulls" on a media phone call by Mittens campaign today. Yeah, here's a guy with a lot of credibility...working for the same guy who he called Obamneycare just two months ago...

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Response to KharmaTrain (Reply #17)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 05:49 PM

19. Oh, he's *still* shilling for Gecko? He's another phony, anyway. My biggest complaint against the

 

Democrats is that they didn't educate the people about how this guy left a complete mess for Dayton to clean up.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 09:40 AM

5. It will prove that Chuck Norris is "the influencer"

Chuck Norris RULES!!!11!!

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 10:45 AM

6. He can have his victory party at Disney - he's just a cartoon anyway.

 

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 12:47 PM

8. The Republican establishment will panic...

Romney is a their choice as he is part of the 1% and it is his turn. Newt is a loose cannon that might screw up all their carefully laid plans.

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Response to spin (Reply #8)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:23 PM

9. It appears now that the "Republican Establishment" is the right wing of the party who

are respnsible for Gingrich's success. The fact that they ran Perry, Bachman, Santorum, Gingrich, and Paul shows where the "Establishment" is now. The crazies rule the party now; the "Republican Establishment" went out when the Teabaggers took over.

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Response to AlinPA (Reply #9)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 03:05 PM

15. Yuo. And it easy to see why the Republican leadership is running scared. (n/t)

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:28 PM

10. I think he will win in Florida. He turned over Mitt's apple cart and they all had worms in them.

Plus, Sister Sarah is waving to Noot from the wings, "Yoohoo, remember how I supported you by demanding that Mitt release his tax records? Don't forget me. I'll be waiting right over here by my snow machine. You betcha'."

Frankly, I'd like to see Noot's birth certificate.
I'd like to see how much he weighed when he was born.

Mue-ha-ha!!

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 01:50 PM

12. For the Dems, it would be Merry Grinchmas!!! (nt)

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 02:58 PM

14. Get ready for the

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 05:24 PM

16. We're Gonna Need A Fleet Of These...





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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Mon Jan 23, 2012, 06:13 PM

20. Sorry bastards are getting what they deserve after cowing to the craxziest of Americans for years.

Fuck them.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Tue Jan 24, 2012, 12:20 AM

21. I too believe he is unelectable

I actually believe they both are unelectable, mainly because they are not protestants and that is huge in the mind of a true american conservative. The media pushes their corporate candidate, even so called liberal msnbc. Our media is a joke, internet pundits are superior to those stenographers we have on teevee. It's just a matter of time for teevee to go the way of the 8 track tape. Things will never be the same as we leave the dark ages of propaganda behind. The religious nuts who play geopolitics with people's lives will the biggest losers, their little game is up.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Tue Jan 24, 2012, 12:29 AM

22. Rick Santorum is right there waiting in the wings.

If Gingrich and Romney tear each other apart, it should go to Rih "Blah People" Santorum.

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