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2016 Postmortem

brooklynite

(94,490 posts) Tue Nov 1, 2016, 05:17 PM Nov 2016

POLLSTER aggregate poll average: C 48.2 T 42

Pollster average on September 1: C 44 T 43

http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/2016-general-election-trump-vs-clinton

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POLLSTER aggregate poll average: C 48.2 T 42 (Original Post) brooklynite Nov 2016 OP

The problem with that article… regnaD kciN Nov 2016 #1

It looks like vadermike Nov 2016 #2

regnaD kciN

(26,044 posts)

1. The problem with that article…

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 05:25 PM

Nov 2016

…is that most of Clinton's strength is from polls that concluded on or before 10/26 (pre-Comey). Of the five polls taken ending on 10/30 or 10/31, Clinton has an average lead of slightly above 2.5%.

vadermike

(1,415 posts)

2. It looks like

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Tue Nov 1, 2016, 05:27 PM

Nov 2016

Trump has about a 40 pct chance to win May God help us

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