Election model predicts big win for Clinton

[whttevrr]

The Hill?

Anyone got opinion on them as far as partisanship tendencies. I always assumed they were right wing?



Election model predicts big win for Clinton
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/presidential-races/303729-election-model-predicts-big-win-for-clinton

Hillary Clinton is projected to easily win the White House, according to the final installment of a closely followed economic election model from Moody's Analytics.

A week from Election Day, the latest model, on Tuesday, forecast Clinton winning 332 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 206.

If Clinton won 332 electoral votes, it would match President Obama’s 2012 total but would be less than the 365 electoral votes Obama won in 2008.

President Obama's strong popularity — which is as high as President Ronald Reagan’s when he left office nearly 28 years ago — combined with low gas prices are boosting Clinton's chances of winning the presidency.

[niyad]

1. I saw a graphic last night (sorry, it was halloween, not paying lots of attention)

that had der drumpfenfuhrer at 179 and HRC at well over 300.

[whttevrr]

3. I look at Real Clear Politics because they are rightish...

I figure when they give it to the blue it is begrudgingly.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/2016_elections_electoral_college_map.html
263 Clinton/Kaine

Toss Ups
111

Trump/Pence 164

I hope for much better results.

[Coyotl]

2. All the election models predict a big Clinton win, but we need to GOTV to make it real.

[center] GOTV. Let's win Ohio, Arizona, Georgia, and Iowa!



And, let's blow them out by taking Texas too! GOTV can make that big a difference.

[whttevrr]

4. Texas...

I hope it turns blue.

[Coyotl]

5. 38 Electoral Votes and lots of Latinos

There is no place like Texas where GOTV and turnout changes can have as much impact. Trump has stirred the hornet's nest of Latino sentiment, so we will see if there are dramatic changes. The early voting stats look very positive in this regard.

http://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/president/state/TX

Given the rapid growth of Texas' Latino population (now ranking third nationwide), Democrats harbor hope of making the nation's second-largest state and its 38 electoral botes competitive in presidential elections. However, low turnout among Latinos has kept Texas firmly in the Republican column, ever since Jimmy Carter lost re-election in 1980.

[Farmgirl1961]

6. How goes the early voting in Texas

Maybe...just maybe this will be the November surprise!

[whttevrr]

7. Early voting numbers in Texas continue to smash records

http://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/election/article111669967.html

Texans are heading to the polls in such record numbers that more than one-fourth of voters statewide and in Tarrant County had already cast ballots as of Monday in the Nov. 8 election.

So far, more than 2.6 million voters in the state’s 15 largest counties — 27 percent of registered Texans — cast their ballots in the first seven days of early voting, creating such a rush that many poll workers quickly ran out of the coveted “I voted” stickers.

Read more here: http://www.star-telegram.com/news/politics-government/election/article111669967.html#storylink=cpy

[Farmgirl1961]

8. Fantastic!

Is there a split out of D's/R's/I's? Overall, how's the ground game looking?

[whttevrr]

10. Not sure where that info is...

[budkin]

9. They used to be very right wing but over the last few years they are more balanced

I would say they are along the lines of a Politico now. Leaning right a bit.

[whttevrr]

11. I noticed some fairly balanced articles recently.

But I still look at them suspiciously.