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Tue Oct 25, 2016, 06:17 PM

why are the Senate Democratic numbers GOING DOWN.??

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/senate/?ex_cid=2016-forecast

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Response to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 06:18 PM

1. My guess would be that the RNC is putting money into defending their seats

Rather than defending Trump, which is pretty much the smartest thing they could do right now.

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Response to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 06:27 PM

2. Might have to do with $7M the GOP is dumping into Nevada to take over Harry Reid's seat.

They're also sending Donald's enabler, Mike Pence to shore up voters in the red north part of rural Nevada.

Donald's presence is far too toxic at this point. Pence is a better choice, in an election they've basically given up on. They could win that senate seat though.

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Response to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 06:39 PM

3. They are not. dKos has steady increased the odds of winning the Senate.

 

http://elections.dailykos.com/app/elections/2016/office/senate

I expect their predictions to improve in the next week as the blue wave grows and more people abandon the GrOPer.

Wis. 89%
Ind. 84%
N.H. 65%
Nev.55%
Pa. 49%
N.C. 42%
Mo. 40%

We have 36 uncontested seats in our caucus this time and 10 up for re-election. Nine are rated safe, WI & IN lean blue and I rate them as safe. We need three of the other five tossups and may win NC, MO, and FL too. I'm hoping for 53 seats.

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Response to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 06:49 PM

5. There was a poll out today which showed Ayotte ahead of Hassan so that's probably why.

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Response to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 06:55 PM

6. 538 does not make

much sense to me either sometimes.

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Response to triron (Reply #6)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 08:35 PM

13. I keep scratching my head too over 538

That has Hillary Clinton at around 85% or 86% chance of winning and it is ticking up ever so slightly for Trump (I mean it's still at around 15%) but I want to see it go down to itty bitty single digits. What would it take? Flipping over a toss up state? And why are Georgia and Texas still showing heavily in Trump's column if they are supposedly in the MOE now?

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Response to Farmgirl1961 (Reply #13)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 08:53 PM

14. 538 uses every rinky dink chicken shit poll out there

So his stuff is all over the place.

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Response to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 07:17 PM

9. Coming up next on MSNBC Chris Hayes....why the odds of taking back the senate are increasing...

Catch it if you can

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Response to a kennedy (Original post)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 07:30 PM

10. Sorry....watching the World Series....will worry about the election tomorrow......

I really need a break now.......and 1 - 0 Cleveland, bottom of the first bases loaded, two outs.

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Response to a kennedy (Reply #10)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 07:54 PM

11. Tweety had on someone from cook polling wher we could pick 5-7 seats

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Response to FloridaBlues (Reply #11)

Tue Oct 25, 2016, 08:00 PM

12. Thank you.

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