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2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumToday's Presidential Map from Project 538:
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/Just look at the states in which Clinton is leading, and those that Trump is leading.
There are 14 "East Coast" states, she's ahead in 12 of them. There are three "West Coast" states - she's leading in all of them.
There are 9 northern border states, she's ahead in 6 of them. There are 4 southern border states, she's ahead in 3 of them.
Except for Indiana she's leading in ALL of the "Rust Belt" states, including Iowa!
Trump's only strengths are in the Deep South and the low-population Plains/Mountain states. Other than Texas, his states all have a very low number of Electoral votes.
Who knows how it will go on Election Day, but my guess is that when it comes down to his supporters actually voting for Trump, many will balk or cross over to Clinton. She'll probably wind up getting in the high 300s or maybe even break 400 Electoral votes.
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Today's Presidential Map from Project 538: (Original Post)
George II
Oct 2016
OP
"Other than Texas, his states all have a very low number of Electoral votes."
yellowcanine
Oct 2016
#2
getagrip_already
(14,605 posts)1. hopefully it will be....
an early and giddy night on election day.
But first people need to vote.
yellowcanine
(35,693 posts)2. "Other than Texas, his states all have a very low number of Electoral votes."
And Texas may not be a sure thing. It has been close enough that a good GOTV effort could flip it to Hillary.
apcalc
(4,462 posts)3. GOTV!
Shivaraja
(58 posts)4. Iowa will likely go for Trump
check out the RCP data:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/ia/iowa_trump_vs_clinton-5597.html
Good news is, she can win without IA (or OH, FL, NC, NV, AZ, and GA)!