dKos: These three states will decide control of the Senate
Daily Kos Elections 2016 forecast: These three states will decide control of the Senate
By David Jarman Oct 20, 2016
... the states where were unsure about the results include Arizona, Georgia, and Texas
rather than Colorado, Pennsylvania, and Virginia
should tell you that the (Presidential) race is nailed down. ..... President Clinton, however, would probably like to pass some progressive legislation once shes in office, which would require control of both chambers of Congress.
The Democrats do have better-than-even odds of controlling the Senate, but its more perilous than our odds in the presidential race; we calculate that the Democrats have a 59 percent chance of holding 50 or more seats in the Senate ....
..... Democrats currently have 46 Senate seats, if you count Angus King and Bernie Sanders, who caucus with the Dems. So, you need to pick up four seats to hit 50. There are three seats where the odds are strongly in their favor (Illinois, Indiana, and Wisconsin), which takes us up to 49. ...
Here are
the big 3 races right now. As you can see, they all find the two
candidates separated by only a fraction of a point in the polling averages. ................
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