Breaking: (LV) National ABC/WP Poll: Clinton leads 47-43

[NewsCenter28]

Http://www.abcnews.com

47/43/5/2.

[triron]

1. I can't believe

it's that close. wtf???

[Loki Liesmith]

4. AVERAGE

[BlueStreak]

5. They are ALL that close. What have you been watching?

When 538 says 80% that means there is a 1 in 5 chance that Trump will win. E.G. something like a 4 point lead with a MoE of 5%.

80% isn't anything like a "sure thing". We really need the odds to be over 90% to start to have some real confidence.

[Foggyhill]

17. Romney was "close too"

Those cheap national polls should be banned

Do you really think people suddenly reversed their opinion of trump in the last 2 days

[Loki Liesmith]

3. oh, it's you.

[RandySF]

6. That's how polarized we are now.

Oklahoma elected to the Senate a man who was a ob/gyn whoe sterilized women without their consent.

[MyNameIsKhan]

7. It's ok ... Polls were supposed to rebound to 5 point

10 point in this time is not possible

[Foggyhill]

15. Good god, listen to yourself!!

None of those polls are rebound, can't believe what I hear
Essentislly nationsl poll are like white noise whennyou consider methodology and their margin of error

The only poll that matter are large scale state polls

[vadermike]

8. Ok

I hope to hell this isn't the beginning of a trump so called comeback narrative. Ugh. But we are leading in all the swing states. The only thing that worries me some is that people become normalized to trump s. Behavior. Hope not

[alcibiades_mystery]

9. ^^^^^^^TRUMPIAN^^^^^^^

[MyNameIsKhan]

10. Guys stop freaking this is a national poll

10 point leads means 400 plus electoral votes, I just donot see this happening with country polarized

[alcibiades_mystery]

11. There are 9 replies. Who is "freaking"

You guys are ridiculous.

[Zynx]

13. If he only has a 13-point lead with whites, his actual deficit is more like 8%.

They must be assuming a whiter than normal electorate.

[triron]

14. Only 740 in the

LV sample.

[Foggyhill]

19. Margin of error is only meaningful if the poll is representative

Most polls don't even get that right
Not to mention the huge moe

National polls should be at least 2048
And be careful to match demos of likely voters in a 2016 election, not 2004

These are horserace/ talking point polls they don't give a shit if they are true

[vdogg]

16. This is an improvement from the last poll.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/enthusiasm-donald-trump-fades-partisanship-close-poll/story?id=42815332

Enthusiasm for Donald Trump’s candidacy has fallen, two-thirds of registered voters reject his claim not to have made unwanted sexual advances toward women and Hillary Clinton’s support has firmed in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll.

But a tightening in Trump’s favor has halted, the poll finds, and other results suggest a shift in the dynamics of the race:

• Enthusiasm for Trump among his supporters has subsided from 91 percent last month to 79 percent now, erasing his advantage over Clinton on this measure.

[Third Doctor]

18. Thanks for the link and clarification.

This particular poll was even closer last time and the recent one indicates a problem for Trump not Clinton.

[Foggyhill]

20. The margin of error is so largecyou can deduce trends but nothing else

[Third Doctor]

21. I agree

Mainly if Clinton is up in so many polls the country or state is leaning towards her or vice versa.

[qdouble]

22. Well her lead is double what it was in their last poll which only showed a 2 point lead for Clinton.

[Adenoid_Hynkel]

23. It's an upward trend - their last poll had her leading Adolph Sniffler

by two points.

But I'm sure the hacks in the media will try to portray it as a tightening, as Drudge is.

[Ardoewaan]

24. Hoping for more than 50% 8 november

But I'll settle for victory

[bigdarryl]

25. Polls are a Snapshot in time that's why I pay no attention to them

I look at the actual esrly voting that is going on and whos turning there voters out.

[Trust Buster]

26. The weekly poll roller coaster ride is nothing more than an amusement.

[RBInMaine]

27. I think this is an outlier. Probably underpolling Dems/Progressives. Others have her further ahead.

[book_worm]

28. Yeah and NBC/WSJ has her up by 11