2016 Postmortem

misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts) Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:04 AM Oct 2016

Clinton has a 13.2 lead in Michigan today. Is this normally a blue State?

Just curious..thanks

Benchmark Politics @benchmarkpol
Michigan is the model's largest change today, with a 13 point Clinton lead being projected.

See the breakdown. http://benchmark.shareblue.com/michigan/

15 replies

= new reply since forum marked as read

Highlight:

Clinton has a 13.2 lead in Michigan today. Is this normally a blue State? (Original Post) misterhighwasted Oct 2016 OP

it's part of the blue wall nt geek tragedy Oct 2016 #1

Blue as heck Johnny2X2X Oct 2016 #2

Good to know. Ok maybe its Michigan's Gov that makes me think Michigan/Red. misterhighwasted Oct 2016 #7

yes larwdem Oct 2016 #3

Yes but it is also part of Trump's "Rustbelt Strategy" for winning. yellowcanine Oct 2016 #4

Yes. Michigan has been reliably Democratic for years now. Drunken Irishman Oct 2016 #5

Yes, its the Governor that made me think Red leaning. misterhighwasted Oct 2016 #8

Michigan has term limits...he's done in 2018 nt maryellen99 Oct 2016 #10

Well that's good. Hope they can run a strong Dem next. misterhighwasted Oct 2016 #12

Me too..nt maryellen99 Oct 2016 #14

Pretty durn blue, yep. I don't think saltpoint Oct 2016 #6

It's only got a GOP governor because no one votes in midterms Skoods Oct 2016 #9

2018 is an extremely important mid term yeoman6987 Oct 2016 #15

Yep..trump and gop thought there are lots of angry white men beachbum bob Oct 2016 #11

Yep kevink077 Oct 2016 #13

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)

1. it's part of the blue wall nt

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:05 AM

Oct 2016

Johnny2X2X

(19,047 posts)

2. Blue as heck

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:07 AM

Oct 2016

And Trump has an ad blitz here right now, he has to win either WI, MI, or PA and then sweep a host of other states to win.

There is no chance Trump will win MI.

misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts)

7. Good to know. Ok maybe its Michigan's Gov that makes me think Michigan/Red.

Reply to Johnny2X2X (Reply #2)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:13 AM

Oct 2016

Something made me question its blue status.

We can safely say that Trump will not win Michigan

larwdem

(758 posts)

3. yes

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:09 AM

Oct 2016

blue state

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)

4. Yes but it is also part of Trump's "Rustbelt Strategy" for winning.

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:10 AM

Oct 2016

Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)

5. Yes. Michigan has been reliably Democratic for years now.

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:10 AM

Oct 2016

Here's the margins over the last few election cycles:

2012: Obama +12
2008: Obama +16
2004: Kerry +3
2000: Gore +5
1996: Clinton +14
1992: Clinton +8

It last went Republican in 1988.

misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts)

8. Yes, its the Governor that made me think Red leaning.

Reply to Drunken Irishman (Reply #5)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:17 AM

Oct 2016

He needs to be voted out next time.
After the Flint water fiasco I wonder what his chances are of winning re-election? Or has he resigned yet?

Blue Michigan up & down ticket.

maryellen99

(3,788 posts)

10. Michigan has term limits...he's done in 2018 nt

Reply to misterhighwasted (Reply #8)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:26 AM

Oct 2016

misterhighwasted

(9,148 posts)

12. Well that's good. Hope they can run a strong Dem next.

Reply to maryellen99 (Reply #10)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:29 AM

Oct 2016

Thanks

maryellen99

(3,788 posts)

14. Me too..nt

Reply to misterhighwasted (Reply #12)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:37 AM

Oct 2016

saltpoint

(50,986 posts)

6. Pretty durn blue, yep. I don't think

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:11 AM

Oct 2016

Trump-Pence stands much of a chance of carrying Michigan this time.

Skoods

(341 posts)

9. It's only got a GOP governor because no one votes in midterms

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:21 AM

Oct 2016

It's sad but we can't gotv quite like the GOP in midterms.

yeoman6987

(14,449 posts)

15. 2018 is an extremely important mid term

Reply to Skoods (Reply #9)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:40 AM

Oct 2016

We have 23 senate seats to defend to their 8 seats. I hope everyone votes cuz we need them too.

beachbum bob

(10,437 posts)

11. Yep..trump and gop thought there are lots of angry white men

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:28 AM

Oct 2016

That could bring the state to trump....they figured wrong

kevink077

(365 posts)

13. Yep

Reply to misterhighwasted (Original post)

Fri Oct 14, 2016, 10:32 AM

Oct 2016

I am from there. Very blue for presidential and senate elections. The right kind of blue collar republican (kasich) could win Michigan under the right circumstances. Except for a few western Michigan counties, most republicans are middle of the road moderates. Trump has no shot there.

Reply to this discussion