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Rachel just said All major election forecasters have Hillary winning easily... (Original Post) onehandle Jul 2016 OP
I'm not taking anything for granted C_U_L8R Jul 2016 #1
Nor should we. Fight like we are 2 pts behind always and every where. Kber Jul 2016 #9
+1 Kathy M Jul 2016 #11
+1 can't fault that logic. fleabiscuit Jul 2016 #26
Yep. Like any sewer cockroach he must be pulverized to insure his demise. 63splitwindow Jul 2016 #24
That is today... kevink077 Jul 2016 #2
Same as last week. bettyellen Jul 2016 #4
What is it they say about campaigns SticksnStones Jul 2016 #3
I'm still fighting like she's 10 points behind. Iliyah Jul 2016 #5
That's not what she said. woolldog Jul 2016 #6
I don't know where she's getting that. They're tied, according to RCP's aggregation of polls. n/t pnwmom Jul 2016 #7
the poll sites are not the same as the prediction sites n/t DemonGoddess Jul 2016 #8
Rachel's Chart of Election Forecasters BlueStateLib Jul 2016 #10
That makes me think ..maybe this country has not amuse bouche Jul 2016 #14
Not completely PJMcK Jul 2016 #17
Nate Silver has several models. One still has Trump narrowly winning. totodeinhere Jul 2016 #28
I don't want Hillary to just win... bekkilyn Jul 2016 #12
Agree.... HipChick Jul 2016 #13
Me too. I want his supporters Ilsa Jul 2016 #18
I'm still scared bhusar Jul 2016 #15
who ever does the best GOTV will win LostinRed Jul 2016 #16
He doesn't have a campaign structure frazzled Jul 2016 #21
I wish she wouldn't promote this data. Firebrand Gary Jul 2016 #19
All the more reason madamesilverspurs Jul 2016 #20
Good news that what many of us were thinking is confirmed. I can't see how anyone... George II Jul 2016 #22
We're all in our Dem bubble 90-percent Jul 2016 #23
Rachel just said All major election forecasters have Hillary winning easily... LenaBaby61 Jul 2016 #25
We need a landslide in order to retake the Senate and perhaps (fingers crossed) even the House. Koinos Jul 2016 #27

kevink077

(365 posts)
2. That is today...
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 09:18 PM
Jul 2016

Right after the convention. A lot of work to be done. Dems have to campaign like they are down 5 every day!!

 

woolldog

(8,791 posts)
6. That's not what she said.
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 09:23 PM
Jul 2016

I was watching.

She said all the prediction sites/forecasters have Hillary winning in November. The Rothemberg Political Report, Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, Princeton Election Consortium, 538, NY Times, and Predictwise.

PJMcK

(22,031 posts)
17. Not completely
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 11:03 PM
Jul 2016

But look at the strength of Mr. Trumps support! Those numbers, averaging about a third of the survey's respondents, represents tens of millions of our fellow citizens. That bothers me greatly.

totodeinhere

(13,058 posts)
28. Nate Silver has several models. One still has Trump narrowly winning.
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 12:16 AM
Jul 2016
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/#now

And it was only recently that Nate had Trump only at about 20%. I don't think this is over quite yet. Got to keep working.

Ilsa

(61,694 posts)
18. Me too. I want his supporters
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 11:13 PM
Jul 2016

To be so outnumbered that they are embarrassed that they ever even considered voting for that mentally ill man.

bhusar

(131 posts)
15. I'm still scared
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 10:50 PM
Jul 2016

But that's my nature. These look good. But I want it to be a huge victory. Man I did not mean to use that word.

LostinRed

(840 posts)
16. who ever does the best GOTV will win
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 10:50 PM
Jul 2016

Thankfully a lot of the Republican passed voter suppression bills are being overturned by the courts. Another reminder of why our courts are so important.

frazzled

(18,402 posts)
21. He doesn't have a campaign structure
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 11:33 PM
Jul 2016

to do Voter ID or canvassing or GOTV. He doesn't do that kind of thing. He just tweets. It would be quite remarkable if anyone could win a campaign like that, especially with nearly zero support from African Americans, Latinos, and a huge gender gap with women.

But believe me, he's not going to have a very organized set of staff and volunteers to execute the ground work that is essential to a successful campaign.

Firebrand Gary

(5,044 posts)
19. I wish she wouldn't promote this data.
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 11:17 PM
Jul 2016

If people slack from getting out there with everything we've got, we're not going to flip congress.

George II

(67,782 posts)
22. Good news that what many of us were thinking is confirmed. I can't see how anyone...
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 11:41 PM
Jul 2016

....can walk into that voting booth and actually vote for Trump.

90-percent

(6,829 posts)
23. We're all in our Dem bubble
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 11:44 PM
Jul 2016

It's not a valid survey by any means, but a FB friend asked who her pals were voting for and there was about 15-20 responses and they were all for Orange Hitler.

Outside our bubble people extremely susceptible to corporate MSM propaganda are in the 21st Century Nazi's corner.

-90% Jimmy

LenaBaby61

(6,974 posts)
25. Rachel just said All major election forecasters have Hillary winning easily...
Fri Jul 29, 2016, 11:54 PM
Jul 2016

STILL campaign and donate anyway like we're BEHIND by 10% points all over this country.

GOTV!


Koinos

(2,792 posts)
27. We need a landslide in order to retake the Senate and perhaps (fingers crossed) even the House.
Sat Jul 30, 2016, 12:04 AM
Jul 2016

Coattails will be very important. Tromping Trump would really help.

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