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BREMPRO

(2,331 posts)
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:32 PM Nov 2012

Romney's secret weapon..."Orca"... (hint:FAIL!!!)

"Challenger Mitt Rommey reportedly only wrote a victory speech for Election Day, so revisions would have taken some time. But did the obsession with polls and tracking also delay his concession?

In an election season dominated by names like Gallup, Rasmussen and Nate Silver, the Romney number crunchers had their own methods. A campaign release described Project ORCA as a "massive undertaking" involving nearly 35,000 volunteers and designed to "conduct the world's largest exit poll" and win the White House."

Snip

"Had Project ORCA succeeded, it would have been lauded as the ultimate voter-turnout tool. But the expected long-drawn-out fight had been called well before midnight East Coast time by several networks, including Fox News. It would take an additional 90 minutes or so before the challenger conceded at 12:55 a.m., but the shock still lingered not only over the loss, but also over Orca's failings.

Some Romney aides were surprised, too, especially since they had put an enormous amount of effort into tracking the hour-by-hour whims of the electorate. In recent weeks the campaign came up with a super-secret, super-duper vote-monitoring system that was dubbed Project Orca. ... Early in the evening, one aide said that, as of 4 p.m., Orca still projected a Romney victory of somewhere between 290 and 300 electoral votes. Obviously that didn't happen. Later, another aide said Orca had pretty much crashed in the heat of the action. 'Somebody said Orca is lying on the beach with a harpoon in it,' said the aide.(Nov. 7, Washington Examiner)"j

more : http://news.yahoo.com/analysis--why-mitt-romney-may-have-taken-so-long-to-concede.html
*******
Even their science is stuck in the bubble of faith and wishful thinking...

6 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Romney's secret weapon..."Orca"... (hint:FAIL!!!) (Original Post) BREMPRO Nov 2012 OP
Exit polls are never to be relied on Smilo Nov 2012 #1
whatever their metrics it was a total failure... CBS was using exit polling and historical data BREMPRO Nov 2012 #2
Their metrics were Ms. Toad Nov 2012 #6
Fundamentals C_U_L8R Nov 2012 #3
'Somebody said Orca is lying on the beach with a harpoon in it,' said the aide ProudProgressiveNow Nov 2012 #4
Partly it was a massive fail because Ms. Toad Nov 2012 #5

BREMPRO

(2,331 posts)
2. whatever their metrics it was a total failure... CBS was using exit polling and historical data
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:51 PM
Nov 2012

and nailed the states one by one accurately 15 to 30 minutes before any other network.. it was impressive.

Ms. Toad

(34,066 posts)
6. Their metrics were
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 07:55 PM
Nov 2012

actual conversations in the polling place where there was a republican observer with virtually every voter checking in to vote. Uploaded by phone apps to a national database. I don't know how quickly it was shut down elsewhere, but it lasted far less than an hour where I was. (In Ohio - that is well outside of the permitted role of an observer.)

C_U_L8R

(45,000 posts)
3. Fundamentals
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 02:58 PM
Nov 2012

They had a bad candidate with a wrongheaded strategy and a lousy message. All the techno toys their billionaire money could buy couldn't persuade anyone to vote for that poop.

Ms. Toad

(34,066 posts)
5. Partly it was a massive fail because
Wed Nov 7, 2012, 07:52 PM
Nov 2012

Democratic observers were well trained and shut it down in key locations...not that I know anything about how early ***cough** 7:00 *** in the morning it was shut down in some parts of Ohio

Had no idea what it was at the time the calls started coming in...but knew they were up to no good. R observers in the precinct initiating conversations with voters about party affiliation? Not permitted...put a fork in it.

(But, seriously, if there were not well trained Dem observers in so many polling places - and with a more comprehensive ground game - it might have been successful.)

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