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Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:44 AM

The Republicans Bet Everything, and Obama Won It All

Good article, but the title grabbed me.


The Republicans Bet Everything, and Obama Won It All

By Jonathan Chait

President Barack Obama waves to the media from the south lawn of the White House as prepares to board Marine One in Washington, en route to campaign events in Nashua, N.H., Saturday, Oct. 27, 2012. (AP Photo/Jacquelyn Martin)


The gamble was that by denying Obama any support, they would render his presidency wholly partisan at best, and a dysfunctional failure at worst. They would increase their own chances of denying him a second term, and that their return to power would allow them to claim a full and absolute break with the past. They shoved all their chips onto tonight’s election. When the networks called it at 11:15 p.m., the totality of the right’s failure was clear. And because they bid up the stakes as high as they could, their loss was unusually devastating.


The great gamble failed. It failed for many reasons: The economy recovered just enough in 2012, Mitt Romney ran a mediocre campaign, Obama ran a strong one. Among the most important is a factor conservatives seem to have never reckoned with — their party has never recovered the public’s trust:

Fed up though voters may be with bitter partisanship in Washington, and angry though they may be with the painfully slow recovery, they were never eager to hand the keys back to the Republicans. Conservatives would not make the ideological sacrifices needed to reposition the party in the center. They gambled that discontent with Obama alone would be sufficient to propel them back to power.

The policy consequences of that failed gamble are immense: Universal health insurance will go into effect, and when the Bush tax cuts expire on January 1, 2013, Obama will be able to restore a plausible stream of tax revenue without needing the ascent of the unbowed Republican House.

The political repercussions may be just as enormous. While any number of future events could intervene — Obama could lose his second term to a scandal, or a foreign policy crisis — he looks very well poised to consolidate and expand the electoral revolution that helped sweep him into office. The economic recovery appears to be gaining momentum — perhaps not quite soon enough to allow him to have run a Morning in America reelection campaign, but advanced enough for him to preside over a second term that feels like true prosperity. If Obama presides over a strong and continuous recovery, his approval will rise and his policies will be vindicated. He could cement the partisan and ideological leanings of his rising coalition.



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Reply The Republicans Bet Everything, and Obama Won It All (Original post)
babylonsister Nov 2012 OP
NRaleighLiberal Nov 2012 #1

Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 10:53 AM

1. Hey - he must read DU!

"...the Democratic Party’s disparate constituencies will eat each other alive, as they tend to do when they lack the binding force of imminent peril...."

just sayin' ( )

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