Poll: The State of Florida Yes or No?

[flamingdem]

44 votes, 1 pass | Time left: Unlimited
	We win Florida
	29 (66%)
	We lose Florida
	6 (14%)
	We win Florida with lawsuits
	0 (0%)
	We lose Florida due to Rick Scott & Co.
	7 (16%)
	We don't need Florida, so who cares?
	2 (5%)
	1 DU member did not wish to select any of the options provided.
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[flamingdem]

1. Florida: Closest race in the nation - crucial to Rmoney

http://blogs.miaminewtimes.com/riptide/2012/11/romney_campaign_apparently_con.php


---snip
Well, just a day before the election the Romney campaign appears pretty confident that it will prevail here despite polling showing the state as perhaps the closest race in the nation.

"Florida's baked," a top Romney advisor tells Toby Harden of The Daily Mail, meaning the campaign seems pretty confidant they'll prevail.

Sure, Democrats have a small but significant advantage over Republicans in votes already cast through early voting and absentee ballots, but Harden reports that after only Indiana and North Carolina, Romney insiders are the most confidant of winning Florida than all the other swing states. Even more confidant than in Virginia.

This morning on MSNBC, Vice President Joe Biden meanwhile seemed less than confident of his ticket's chances in Florida. While predicting wins in other swing states, Biden only gave Obama an "even chance" of winning Florida.

However, the Obama campaign has the luxury of not being able to sweat a loss in Florida. The President can still lose in Florida and be left with a decent path to victory as long as he wins in states like Ohio, Iowa and Wisconsin.

[HockeyMom]

2. Corrupt Republicans control Florida

Rick Scott makes Jeb Bush look like a Boy Scout. Nothing would please me more to have Obama win WITHOUT Florida.

[Alleycat]

3. I just don't know.

I guess I am undecided about Florida. Now I feel like the undecided voters out there.

[davidpdx]

18. +1

I'm not sure what to think either. Maybe the last minute Bloomberg endorsement will help convince some of the NY transplants down there.

[ShadowLiberal]

4. We're still slight underdogs, but I'd give us a 40% chance of carrying FL

[flamingdem]

6. I'm thinking 51% because late deciders seem to be breaking for Obama

and the lines show enthusiasm, but the numbers are a tad low compared to 2008 supposedly

[JohnnyRingo]

5. I have a bad feeling about Florida

So many polls have called the state for Romney, and I tend to believe them. Still, Florida is somewhat diverse in that nobody is really from there, and it all depends on who shows up tomorrow and their demographic.

[flamingdem]

7. Yes, the late deciders

may well decide it. Let's hope the Republicans lack motivation this year.

[ChiciB1]

8. I Have Lived Here For A VERY, VERY Long Time...

so I don't trust much that goes on when it comes to voting in this state. Seen way too much already.

My husband is a native from Tampa, but this state is not the same state as when he was born! There are times I DON'T want to tell people where I'm from. Would LOVE to say Dems will win, but with JEBBY always in the background I just can't say!

[flamingdem]

9. If Obama had won by 6-9 percent then it might be

to hard to hide the extra votes. Do you remember how much he won by in 2008?

The reason I hold out hope: all the new registrations, Latinos less conservative than before, Medicare/Ryan

[ChiciB1]

10. I Don't Recall, But He Did Win!

I might be able to find a link for the answer. I'll be back if I find it.

[ChiciB1]

16. Okay... Results From 2008

Obama won FL... 50.9 to McCain's 48.4.

One thing I can guarantee this time around... that number won't be matched.

We've had some kind of wrench in registering, getting out the vote or general dirty tricks for a very long time this year! Registrations were down by a lot because of the 48 hour rule to register. A person could have been fined at least $1,000 for not returning registrations within 48 hours. A VERY hard thing to do, especially if you're canvassing door to door!

And they're still trying to stop people from voting. Wish I could say it looks good, but I can't. Obama has had a good ground game, but not for registering. Just door to door to see if you are voting or not. They ask, then say we hope you will consider voting for Democrats. Your choice to respond.

Rick Scott is JEBBY'S puppet & hasn't shown his face for a very long time. I think today he did something, but I think they've been hiding him because he's not very loved. But his favorables have gone up. How I don't know, but that's what the papers say.

[flamingdem]

23. Nate Silver just turned Florida Light Blue!

Yay! But it's supposed to rain there tomorrow.. noooo

[ChiciB1]

35. Saw That Last Night...

I swear by him, but his numbers are scary high! Fingers crossed. Didn't see that coming.

And it shouldn't mean people shouldn't get out & VOTE, VOTE, VOTE! I already voted & 10 more of my family members have too. All Democrats!

[MrSlayer]

11. Sadly, I think the suppression and dirty tricks win the day there.

It should be a walk for the President but it won't be.

[RomneyLies]

12. Nate says we won't

but I think we will.

[flamingdem]

13. I'm "feeling" a win

against all logic and Nate Silver!

[RomneyLies]

14. Romney's probability of winning Florida is 55.5%

That means Obama's is 44.5%.

I'll take the lower odds and bet on Barack.

[flamingdem]

21. Nate Silver just turned FL Light Blue!

[Faith9326]

15. I go with my instinct a lot(and a lot of times I'm right)

And my instinct is telling me that we're going to get Florida.

[David Zephyr]

17. I think President Obama will carry Florida again.

[flamingdem]

20. Nate Silver just turned FL light blue!

[flamingdem]

19. Nate Silver just turned Florida Light Blue!

woo hoo!

[RightBWrong]

22. My nirvana option would be....

Obama wins Florida and Rick Scott is dragged out of the governor's mansion in handcuffs!

[flamingdem]

25. That would be so fabulous

and it might happen!

[GallopingGhost]

24. I think we will take Florida. n/t

[flamingdem]

27. Did you see the news I'm crowing about?

Nate Silver just put FL as Light Blue!

[GallopingGhost]

29. Yes, and

it's wonderful!

[democrattotheend]

26. Can't decide

My gut says Romney wins it, mainly due to the disenfranchisement of Democratic voters. But Nate Silver's turning it light blue is encouraging.

[flamingdem]

28. I wonder what he based it on

and if at this point he's including data like the numbers voting early. Only one concern, did they vote today because the prediction is for rain tomorrow?

[animato]

30. Only 20% chance of rain tomorrow in Miami

Tue
Nov 6
84°
58°
Partly Cloudy
CHANCE OF RAIN:
20%

WIND:
WSW at 12 mph
Details

[animato]

31. However there are scattered thunderstorms in Orlando area

75°F
High
Scattered T-Storms
Chance of Rain:60%Wind: NW at 10 mph Humidity:66%

[fujiyama]

33. Rick Scott is a major ass hole. There is simply no other way to put it

Considering it was so close last time, I think with all the lines people are forced to wait, the intimidation, suppression, and every other tactic, we won't take it. As it is, weren't the polls extended in '08 by Christ? We can't expect any sort of cooperation from Scott this time.

So while I believe if a fair and competent election were to take place in FL, Obama would win by a small margin (~2 points), he likewise loses due to the incessant corruption in the state.

I'm hoping it won't be necessary. VA and CO are looking encouraging. OH is looking good, but Kasich and Husted will make voting as difficult as possible there. And there is some understandable skepticism over those electronic voting machines...

[flamingdem]

34. Nate Silver just turned Ohio to "safe" for Obama

and Light Blue for Florida, now we never know but it sure is looking better than 2 weeks ago