Nate Silver Obama Fully recovered! 308.2 EV 86.3 Chance of winning!

[courseofhistory]

Nate Silver ?@fivethirtyeight

Obama's win probability peaked at 87% on 10/4, last day before polls reflected Denver debate. Fell to 61% on 10/12. Now fully recovered.

https://twitter.com/fivethirtyeight

308.2 EV Obama
86.3 Chance of winning

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/

[cilla4progress]

1. I thought Mr. O. was up @ 90 before the 1st debate?

In any case, this will do!

[erik satie]

3. that was the Now-cast

he maxed at 87% in Silver's Nov. 6 forecast, these two models are a bit different.

[NCLefty]

2. Well in that case, Nate Silver has fully recovered with me (he was down shhh).

[TroyD]

5. I know people were disappointed when Obama fell into the 60s in Nate's model

But that wasn't his fault. He was just doing his job and analyzing the polls.

The reality is that Obama took a drop after the first debate.

We don't want to get like the other side and attack someone just for reporting the numbers.

[barnabas63]

4. awesome!