Ras Poll of Indiana: Obama is doing respectable there

[WI_DEM]

(Considering that Indiana is a red state in presidential elections--LBJ & Obama being the only modern dems to win it--and the state going +16 for Bush in 2000 & +21 for Bush in 2004--this isn't a bad showing for Obama and since it's Ras it could be better than that):

Mitt Romney continues to hold a comfortable lead in Indiana as the presidential election nears.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Hoosier State shows Romney with 52% support to President Obama's 43%. One percent (1%) likes some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

(Want a free daily e-mail update? If it's in the news, it's in our polls). Rasmussen Reports updates are also available on Twitter or Facebook.

The survey of 600 Likely Voters in Indiana was conducted on November 1, 2012 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/indiana/election_2012_indiana_president

Pollsters love to post polls showing Obama not doing as well in blue states as he did in 2008, so I like to show where Romney is not doing as well historically in Red states, too.

[TroyD]

1. Interesting

The Howey/DePauw poll out yesterday showed Romney (+10) I believe, so this (+9) for Romney by Rasmussen is bang on with that one. It actually shows a decrease for Romney in support from a few weeks ago when he was getting leads of 12-14 points in Indiana.

Obviously all of this is academic since we know Romney will win Indiana, but the reason it's important is for the Senate race. Donnelly already appears to have moved ahead of Mourdock so if on top of that Romney doesn't break into double-digits, it increases the odds for Donnelly even more.

[alcibiades_mystery]

2. 52%-43%...in Chuck Todd's world, that's a flippable swing state margin!

Oh, right, only if the percentages work the other way.

[Indykatie]

3. Did Ras Bother Surveying the Indiana Senate Race Or Just the One that Dems are Losing

We will take the senate seat which should cause repub heads to explode since Lugar would have won reelection here easily.

[WI_DEM]

4. They actually have the Dem up by 3

that poll was posted previously on politics 2012 so I didn't include it on my post.

[TroyD]

5. 4-point drop for Romney in Indiana from the last Rasmussen poll

Mourdock effect?

Obama up 2 points, Romney down 2 points

Previous Rasmussen poll was (Romney +13) = Romney 54, Obama 41

Today's Rasmussen poll is (Romney +9) = Romney 52, Obama 43

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/in/indiana_romney_vs_obama-3167.html

[aaaaaa5a]

6. Good number for Obama

In 2004, Bush carried Indiana by around 20 points. If Romney is running this far behind that number in Indiana, his numbers don't bode well for the rest of the midwest.