2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumEarly voting turnout in North Carolina EXCEEDS 2008!
People were standing in line Saturday--last day of early voting--in the Triangle area for 2 hours or more to vote.
"Before early voting ended Saturday, it had broken turnout records. More than 2.7 million people had voted at one-stop sites or by mail, topping the 2.6 million who had done the same in 2008."
Read more here: http://www.newsobserver.com/2012/11/03/2460583/27-million.html#storylink=misearch#storylink=cpy
From 5 PM update yesterday of the NC Board of Elections website:
2,706,836 have voted
1,289,035 Registered Dems have voted
854,035 Registered Repubs have voted
435,000 MORE DEMS have voted than Repubs
1,578,665 Remaining Registered Dems yet to vote
1,196,985 Remaining Registered Repubs yet to vote
DEMS HOLD MARGIN over Repubs of 381,680 MORE voters remaining eligible to vote
ftp://www.app.sboe.state.nc.us/enrs/absentee11xx06xx2012_Stats.pdf
Cha
(303,613 posts)Thanks, mnhtnbb
Wounded Bear
(60,211 posts)Life Long Dem
(8,582 posts)"More than 47 percent of those who voted early were registered Democrats, according to the latest figures.
More than 31 percent were registered Republicans, and 20 percent were unaffiliated.
The Obama campaign said that it expects the race in North Carolina to come down to the wire but that it is getting newly registered voters to the polls. By their calculations, Romney would have to win 65 percent of the vote on Election Day to win the state."
FBaggins
(27,389 posts)We won the early vote by 16%, but we won it by 21% four years ago and barely won the state by the skin of our teeth. To put it in raw figures, there were 435,000 more democrats than republicans... but in 2008 there were 555,000 more democrats (and we only won by 14,000). The obvious factor that many keep ignoring is that a vote by a registered democrat in NC is not as likely to be a vote for the democratic candidate for president as it is in some other states.
So we're likely to lose the state narrowly. What is good news is that it's hard to think of a scenario where Romney wins NC by only 3%, but somehow wins VA & OH - let alone PA/MI/etc.
Dalai_1
(1,301 posts)VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)littlemissmartypants
(24,261 posts)North Carolina State Motto
"Esse Quam Videri"
The North Carolina state motto is a Latin motto which in English means "To be, rather than to seem".
klook
(12,759 posts)As NC gets bluer, it gives us hope here in the benighted state of Georgia. Keep on keepin' on, y'all.
nc4bo
(17,651 posts)Oh YES WE CAN!!
Go NC!
rucky
(35,211 posts)Democratic: 2,867,700 Republican: 2,051,020 Libertarian: 19,217 Unaffiliated: 1,705,587 Total: 6,643,524
http://www.ncsbe.gov/content.aspx?id=1&s=1
Not sure what to make of the "unaffiliated" set, but Romney will have to pick up a pretty huge chunk of them to take the state.
SunDrop23
(2,109 posts)It means you declined to select D, R, or L at the time of your voter registration.
In NC unaffiliated voters can vote in either primary and yes alot of them are really R, but my sense is see some sort of nobility in registering U.
is some speculation that a lot of them are cross over Democrats that changed their registration since 2008 also. A large number of them has also voted in the early period. This would make them likely voters also. Included in the unaffiliated voters are all races also but the majority are white. I suspect the Republicans will get the majority of white unaffiliated voters to make the race close but come up short. It still depends on turnout because nobody is going to get 100 percent turnout in the electorate. I suspect just like every election, a large portion of voters will not even vote. Most likely, they will be unaffiliated voters.
mnhtnbb
(31,796 posts)may be that the Dem registration is a "purer" number--which would definitely be
to the benefit of Dem party. The registered Dem voter may just be a REAL Dem
voter and possibly a higher % of those Dem voters will actually be counted for
Dem votes!
mnhtnbb
(31,796 posts)who don't want their party affiliation known to superiors:
also, a LOT of dissatisfied Dems. Hubby and I both re-registered after 2004
because we were so pissed that Kerry did not contest the election--the Dems
did not stand up to Repubs on Iraq war--and would not call out the lies.
We have both been quite heartened by the change in the way Obama camp
has run this campaign. I don't give a $hit if the media thinks it's 'negative';
I think it's about damn time these lying a$$hole Repubs get called out
for their constant malarkey.
hue
(4,949 posts)inamatteroftime
(135 posts)llmart
(16,215 posts)go blue!
SunDrop23
(2,109 posts)Want to turn this state red?
You have to earn it.
bluemarkers
(536 posts)That is great news. Smile on my face!!!!!
on my fb page my rwnj friend accused people who stood in line for 2 hours of being lazy.... because they were too lazy to write a letter for an absentee ballot.... omg he's crazy
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)They had to have police directing traffic in and out of Bond park.
sulphurdunn
(6,891 posts)this means Romney will win by only a few thousand votes, to make it look close. I don't think the billionaires would spent a quarter billion dollars on this election without insuring they win. If i am wrong about this I will say on very loud, "thank you Jesus."
mnhtnbb
(31,796 posts)barbtries
(29,523 posts)i'm really getting excited now.
NewJeffCT
(56,834 posts)good info!