anyone from PA- what crap is this 48-48 PA

[kansasobama]

http://triblive.com/politics/politicalheadlines/2878015-74/romney-percent-poll-state-obama-pennsylvania-president-lee-presidential-voters#axzz2BCil7kLj

Is this reliable?

[Francis Tresham]

1. It is going to be close

GOTV! or get used to saying President Romney.

[HERVEPA]

4. Bullshit

[VirginiaTarheel]

16. Stupid troll post

[RomneyLies]

19. I'll be remembering your handle

That's for damned sure

[grantcart]

20. Poster is gone but Francis Tresham will be on the midterm British History test.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Francis_Tresham

[AverageJoe90]

30. Holy shit.

So he was actually a historical figure? Based on the Wikipedia article, I seriously don't like this guy's choice of a name......

On an unrelated note, the Gunpowder plotter does share a name with the guy who originally invented the Civilization board game......

[MightyMopar]

2. Before Murdoch there was Scaife

Look up the sorry history of the Tribune Review

[flowomo]

3. crappy pollster, right-wing paper:

"The Tribune-Review Publishing Company is owned by Richard Mellon Scaife, an heir to the Mellon banking, oil, and aluminum fortune. Scaife is a major funder of conservative organizations, including the Arkansas Project; accordingly, the Tribune-Review has long maintained a staunchly conservative editorial stance."

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pittsburgh_Tribune-Review

[NewsCenter28]

8. PPP has Obama up 52-46 in their final poll just out today

This Scaife poll is absolutely not credible. THROW IT OUT! PPP has a stellar reputation.

[dennis4868]

5. I never heard of

Trib Total Media....anyone from PA tell us more?

[flowomo]

11. 2nd largest paper in the Pittsburgh area...

Trib Total Media is their whole media package -- smaller papers, website etc. It's a Scaife operation. See my post above.

[dennis4868]

13. thanks...

in other words, we should ignore this poll.

[skeewee08]

6. "Is this reliable" NO!!! Search DU for recent polls

[kansasobama]

7. thanks

I can sleep now

[fearnobush]

9. PPP has PA + 6 today. Obama will take PA by more than that.

IMHO Pa is not as close as some may believe.

[underthematrix]

10. smells like bullshit to me

[7worldtrade]

12. No it's a susqehanna poll

They had Romney up by 4 on October 18. This is an improvement from their prior ridiculous poll.

[LisaL]

14. Hah. He dropped 4 points since their previous poll.

[dennis4868]

15. but the pollster

leans very much to the right or no? I'm confused.

[VirginiaTarheel]

17. No the pollster IS a GOP polling firm

[CreekDog]

18. Susquehanna Poll (BS/crap)

and their last gave Romney a 4 point lead.

their last poll did this:


http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-shows-romney-leading-in-blue-pennsylvania/article/2511153#.UJSRTcXA9BF

Last Susquehanna Poll (10/18/12) / 2008 Vote (or Exit Polls)/2004 Vote (or Exit Polls)

Philadelphia----->10% / 12% / 11.7%
Allegheny Co.--->10% / 11% / 11%

Men-------------->48% / 46% / 47%
Women---------->52% / 54% / 53%

White------------->88% / 81% / 82%
Black------------->10% / 13% / 13%
Hispanic----------> 1% / 4% / 3%

1% Hispanic in Pennsylvania? There are a lot of Puerto Ricans in Pennsylvania and in 2008 they voted too.

Also, note the men/women split.

Oversampled whites too.

Sounds suspect to me.

[TroyD]

21. Susquehanna is a Republican-leaning pollster

And while it may very well be narrowing in PA compared to 2008, it's odd that this poll comes out now.

We just got a poll from PPP earlier tonight showing Obama +6 in PA, so why is this one so much lower?

[Lugnut]

22. It's crap. n/t

[krawhitham]

23. your concern is noted

[DarthDem]

24. Nope!

. . . but thanks for your concern. Man, you're concerned a lot!

[november3rd]

25. Cheap Poll

Small sample, non-reputable polling outfit.

[MrSlayer]

26. LOL! No. The President is up by 8 here.

Trust me. If Obama wins by less than six here, I'll eat a giant steak.

[TroyD]

27. PPP = +6

We just got a poll from PPP earlier tonight showing Obama +6 in PA, so perhaps that's the real number.

[MrSlayer]

29. I'm feeling 8.

But I'll take .8 as long as we walk with PA. Which we will, by at least that 6. Or I'll eat that steak.

[pointsoflight]

28. Terrible pollster, adjusts by party id, a big no-no

[WI_DEM]

31. It's Susquehanna, RCP has Obama up by 4.1collectively in PA which is about

how much Gore won PA in 2000 and better than Kerry in 2004, but down from Obama 2008 which we can expect it will be.

[DCBob]

32. This same worthless pollster had Romney up 49-45 in PA back in Mid Oct.

http://washingtonexaminer.com/poll-shows-romney-leading-in-blue-pennsylvania/article/2511153#.UICAGMXA-So

Their numbers are totally at odds with all the other pollsters. Ignore it.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

33. Your Concern Is Duly Noted.Thank You For Your Input./nt