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Txbluedog

(1,128 posts)
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:34 PM May 2016

Is Bernie done, done if he loses OR tonight

OR has long been touted as his strongest state out of the remaining. Do you think he will bow out if he loses OR. Even someone as idiotic as Cruz knew when it was time to exit, stage right

18 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Response to Txbluedog (Original post)

Response to Txbluedog (Reply #5)

WhiteTara

(29,703 posts)
14. Since his supporters didn't register as Democrats
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:51 PM
May 2016

he is poised to lose big in Oregon. 76% of automatically "declined to state" registrants did not change their registration to Democrat. Oops.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
9. "Momentum" is a meaningless term, especially this year.
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:41 PM
May 2016

He ripped of a nice win streak and promptly got spanked in NY for example. The over riding factor in whether Bernie wins or loses is the demographics of the state and type of primary it is. That is it. Winning Oregon says nothing about the primaries that come after it.

 

imagine2015

(2,054 posts)
6. No. Hillary will not have enough pledged delegates to capture the nomination before the convention
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:39 PM
May 2016

It will be up to the free agent super delegates to decide the who will be the Democratic nominee.

They are not pledged and required to vote for Hillary or Bernie.

And over 150 super delegates have not endorsed Hillary or Bernie for the nomination.

At the 2008 convention over 200 super delegates who endorsed Hillary abandoned her and voted for Barack Obama.

hack89

(39,171 posts)
12. And the reason the SDs switched to Obama in 2008?
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:43 PM
May 2016

because Hillary had conceded and released her delegates. Because the SDs were always going to vote for the candidate with the most pledged delegates.

If 2008 is the model, then Hillary will be the nominee first vote.

 

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)
15. Because Obama was ahead in
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:55 PM
May 2016

pledged delegates (although it was MUCH closer than Bernie is right now) - they didn't overturn the will of the voters which is what you're proposing.

Jackie Wilson Said

(4,176 posts)
10. Bernie needs to pivot to a message of unification soon. Normally I would be against that,
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:42 PM
May 2016

as a true supporter of his I want him elected and his policies to become the norm and would want him to never say die, but the BoB problem is huge and he will address it, has to.

Problem is he knows that many of his supporters are confused when it comes to what to do if he loses.

TheFarseer

(9,321 posts)
13. Why quit now?
Tue May 17, 2016, 01:44 PM
May 2016

Sorry it's inconvenient for your candidate to have to pretend she cares about working class issues for a few more weeks.

Schema Thing

(10,283 posts)
16. Pretty sure I heard him say a long time ago he would stay in and let Cali vote.
Tue May 17, 2016, 02:05 PM
May 2016


I'm guessing you heard that too.
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