2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumMarquette University Law School WI poll: Obama 51 Romney 43
BOOM. Wisconsin:
Sam Stein ?@samsteinhp
Marquette Law School poll: Obama 51 Romney 43 (1,243 likely voters, live interviews, cell phones included)
I never thought WI was in danger. Ditto for Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota. I laugh at the the dilettantes on the teevee who hold themselves out as pundits.
BeyondGeography
(39,369 posts)Jennicut
(25,415 posts)I think WI is done for Romney. No threat there anymore. Now can we get a legit Mich Poll to shut the MSM up? If Obama is ahead in WI, IA and OH he is not losing MI, MN, and PA.
The Detroit News(through pollster Glengariff Group) is a RW newspaper and McCollum, Foster, White and Baydoun is a terrible pollster. Those are the two polls they are relying on to say MI is close.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)That means one out of every twenty polls may contain results outside of the margin of error.
That's why cherry picking polls is so dangerous and misleading.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)response rate, house effect, and erroneous likely voter screens are separate considerations.
Robbins
(5,066 posts)This was their favorate poll on recall.During the Romney surge after first debate they had It down to 1 point lead.It's now much
higher again.The final debate take down of Romny+Sandy response may be taking us closer to where we were before first debate.
If Obama wins WI by solid margain he Is winning the Kerry states+Gore states of Iowa and New Mexico.after that Romney Is In serious trouble with Nevada,Co,and Ohio trending Obama.Not to mention Virginia slightly In Obama's direction and Florida and NC still In play.
My Pet Goat
(413 posts)plus all the OH polls. The battleground path to victory looks solid just based on these two states alone.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I get a lot of scoops there...
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Great news!