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DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:28 PM Oct 2012

Marquette University Law School WI poll: Obama 51 Romney 43

infernoman wrote on Oct 31, 2012 17:21:41 #
BOOM. Wisconsin:

Sam Stein ?@samsteinhp
Marquette Law School poll: Obama 51 Romney 43 (1,243 likely voters, live interviews, cell phones included)



I never thought WI was in danger. Ditto for Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Minnesota. I laugh at the the dilettantes on the teevee who hold themselves out as pundits.
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Marquette University Law School WI poll: Obama 51 Romney 43 (Original Post) DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 OP
I hear the sound of doors closing BeyondGeography Oct 2012 #1
Huge improvement over their last poll. Jennicut Oct 2012 #2
Yep, last poll was 49-48 for Obama on October 17 WI_DEM Oct 2012 #3
These Polls Have A Confidence Level Of .095% DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #4
With regard to sampling error, that's true. But other sources of error, including geek tragedy Oct 2012 #6
Republicans should be very worried Robbins Oct 2012 #10
Wow, this is a respected WI pollster... My Pet Goat Oct 2012 #8
Boom goes the dynamite, indeed. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #5
The Comments At Intrade Are Hilarious DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #7
Awesome!! BlueDemKev Oct 2012 #9

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
2. Huge improvement over their last poll.
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:33 PM
Oct 2012

I think WI is done for Romney. No threat there anymore. Now can we get a legit Mich Poll to shut the MSM up? If Obama is ahead in WI, IA and OH he is not losing MI, MN, and PA.

The Detroit News(through pollster Glengariff Group) is a RW newspaper and McCollum, Foster, White and Baydoun is a terrible pollster. Those are the two polls they are relying on to say MI is close.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
4. These Polls Have A Confidence Level Of .095%
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:36 PM
Oct 2012

That means one out of every twenty polls may contain results outside of the margin of error.

That's why cherry picking polls is so dangerous and misleading.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
6. With regard to sampling error, that's true. But other sources of error, including
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:38 PM
Oct 2012

response rate, house effect, and erroneous likely voter screens are separate considerations.

Robbins

(5,066 posts)
10. Republicans should be very worried
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:43 PM
Oct 2012

This was their favorate poll on recall.During the Romney surge after first debate they had It down to 1 point lead.It's now much
higher again.The final debate take down of Romny+Sandy response may be taking us closer to where we were before first debate.
If Obama wins WI by solid margain he Is winning the Kerry states+Gore states of Iowa and New Mexico.after that Romney Is In serious trouble with Nevada,Co,and Ohio trending Obama.Not to mention Virginia slightly In Obama's direction and Florida and NC still In play.

My Pet Goat

(413 posts)
8. Wow, this is a respected WI pollster...
Wed Oct 31, 2012, 01:40 PM
Oct 2012

plus all the OH polls. The battleground path to victory looks solid just based on these two states alone.

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