2016 Postmortem

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts) Sun Oct 28, 2012, 11:16 PM Oct 2012

Nate bumped Obama up again tonite: 74.6% chance and 296.6 EVs

Good polling day for Obama.

Now-Cast has now crossed over 80%.... it is at 80.1%

15 replies

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Nate bumped Obama up again tonite: 74.6% chance and 296.6 EVs (Original Post) scheming daemons Oct 2012 OP

Sweet! cilla4progress Oct 2012 #1

K&R SunSeeker Oct 2012 #2

that is going to be a tough trend to reverse...this and concordance with Princeton - nice way to end NRaleighLiberal Oct 2012 #3

woot! flamingdem Oct 2012 #4

oh yeah! Divine Discontent Oct 2012 #5

3 of the worst ever!!! 12AngryBorneoWildmen Oct 2012 #7

yes! n/t Divine Discontent Oct 2012 #13

The Obama campaign has the lawyers ready! nt SunSeeker Oct 2012 #8

good to hear! n/t Divine Discontent Oct 2012 #12

One of my personal favorites: Michigan 98.3% chance of an Obama win Samantha Oct 2012 #6

That makes us Michiganders mere spectators. TahitiNut Oct 2012 #9

"THE BIGGER THE MARGIN THE BETTER!" NBachers Oct 2012 #10

If they lose WI, leftynyc Oct 2012 #14

Unless you count UT as one of Romney's 5 home states ; ) TroyD Oct 2012 #15

Nate Silver: Swing States - Chance of Winning TroyD Oct 2012 #11

cilla4progress

(24,726 posts)

1. Sweet!

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 11:18 PM

Oct 2012

SunSeeker

(51,550 posts)

2. K&R

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 11:19 PM

Oct 2012

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)

3. that is going to be a tough trend to reverse...this and concordance with Princeton - nice way to end

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 11:20 PM

Oct 2012

the day....

Go Obama!

flamingdem

(39,313 posts)

4. woot!

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 11:23 PM

Oct 2012

Divine Discontent

(21,056 posts)

5. oh yeah!

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Sun Oct 28, 2012, 11:28 PM

Oct 2012

looking very solid. too many leads in too many swing states for mittens to pull them all off without absurdity being obvious and making it beyond questionable. I'd keep my eye on Wisconsin, Florida, and Ohio having shenanigans going on because those 3 have arguably the worst, sleaziest, most questionable governors out there!

Get it here-->
http://www.zazzle.com/1916_bigotry_in_2012_snake_oil_bumper_sticker-128946110433350130?rf=238107662556833486

12AngryBorneoWildmen

(536 posts)

7. 3 of the worst ever!!!

Reply to Divine Discontent (Reply #5)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 12:37 AM

Oct 2012

Divine Discontent

(21,056 posts)

13. yes! n/t

Reply to 12AngryBorneoWildmen (Reply #7)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 04:10 AM

Oct 2012

SunSeeker

(51,550 posts)

8. The Obama campaign has the lawyers ready! nt

Reply to Divine Discontent (Reply #5)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 12:53 AM

Oct 2012

Divine Discontent

(21,056 posts)

12. good to hear! n/t

Reply to SunSeeker (Reply #8)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 04:10 AM

Oct 2012

Samantha

(9,314 posts)

6. One of my personal favorites: Michigan 98.3% chance of an Obama win

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 12:29 AM

Oct 2012

And another one I am fond of: Wisconsin 86.8 percent chance of an Obama win. Just goes to show -- adding Ryan to the ticket had a lot of influence on Romney's current standing, but probably not in the way he and the Koch Brothers had imagined....

Sam

TahitiNut

(71,611 posts)

9. That makes us Michiganders mere spectators.

Reply to Samantha (Reply #6)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 01:25 AM

Oct 2012

It won't keep me from the polls, though ... the BIGGER the margin the better.

NBachers

(17,103 posts)

10. "THE BIGGER THE MARGIN THE BETTER!"

Reply to TahitiNut (Reply #9)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 01:35 AM

Oct 2012

leftynyc

(26,060 posts)

14. If they lose WI,

Reply to Samantha (Reply #6)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 04:40 AM

Oct 2012

MA, NH, CA & MI - they will lose every home state their candidates come from/live. That would be sweet.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

15. Unless you count UT as one of Romney's 5 home states ; )

Reply to leftynyc (Reply #14)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 04:43 AM

Oct 2012

Joe Klein of TIME counts it as one of the 5 Romney 'home states':

1. MI

2. MA

3. NH

4. CA

5. UT

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

11. Nate Silver: Swing States - Chance of Winning

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Oct 29, 2012, 02:21 AM

Oct 2012

COLORADO - 58% Obama

FLORIDA - 38% Obama

IOWA - 73% Obama

NEW HAMPSHIRE - 72% Obama

NEVADA - 80% Obama

NORTH CAROLINA - 18% Obama

OHIO - 75% Obama

VIRGINIA - 60% Obama

WISCONSIN - 87% Obama

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