2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGood News-Too Much To Put In The Thread Title
Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 89%, Bayesian Prediction 97%
http://election.princeton.edu/
cilla4progress
(24,726 posts)track record of reliability?
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)Keep in mind that in mid terms there aren't published polls for every congressional race so aggregators have to give ranges based on national partisan generic advantage samples.
MrYikes
(720 posts)yep, that's what I tell my wife before I give her my opinion.
barbtries
(28,787 posts)i'll be poll monitoring again this afternoon in Raleigh NC. getting out the vote!
amuse bouche
(3,657 posts)I can't wait until the official announcement though. GOBAMA
I voted early this am. Polls East of Tampa open 7am-7pm all week. Love it
The Tribune is saying the I-4 corridor is going for Mittwit.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I would have to see the actual numbers from the I-4 corridor. It usually is marginally, every so slightly Democratic. Dems win statewide in Florida by mitigating their losses in the northern part of the state, holding their own in the central part of the state, and kicking ass in the southern part of the state.