2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumThe Cincinnati Enquirer endorsed McCain in 2008
The current Ohio Newspaper poll is more fodder for the Romney surge narrative. It was conducted by the University of Cincinnati. That same organization had McCain leading in September and October of 2008.
<...>
Boosted by growing concern about the Wall Street meltdown and Main Street credit freeze, Sen. Barack Obama is closing the gap for Ohio's 20 electoral votes in next month's presidential election, according to the latest Ohio Newspaper Poll.
The Illinois Democrat now trails Republican Sen. John McCain by two percentage points -- well within the poll's margin of error of 3.3 percent.
"It's a statistical dead-heat," said Eric Rademacher, interim co-director of the Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati, which surveyed 876 likely voters across the state Oct. 4-8.
<...>
The first poll, conducted Sept. 12-16, showed McCain leading Obama 48 percent to 42 percent, with 5 percent of the respondents saying they'd vote for independent Ralph Nader or Libertarian Bob Barr and 5 percent undecided.
http://blog.cleveland.com/openers/2008/10/ohio_poll_mccain_obama_in_dead.html
Nov 3, 2008 poll:
After allocation of undecided voters to the candidates they are most likely to support, the presidential race in Ohio stands at Illinois Senator Barack Obama 51.5 percent, Arizona Senator John McCain 45.7 percent, and Other 2.8 percent.
These findings are based on the latest Ohio Poll, conducted by the Institute for Policy Research at the University of Cincinnati. The Ohio Poll is sponsored by the University of Cincinnati. One thousand three hundred eight (1,308) probable voters were interviewed between October 29 and November 2, 2008.
In 95 of 100 cases, the statewide estimates will be accurate to plus or minus 2.7 percent.
http://www.ipr.uc.edu/documents/op110308.pdf
That's a huge swing.
Frankly, the 10 percent independent sample in the current poll makes it bogus.
http://www.ohio.com/news/local-news/presidential-race-tied-in-ohio-newspaper-poll-1.345675
Obama took a significant lead away from Romney among independents and the race is tied?
Still, here's the kicker, it corresponds with this:
Enquirer presidential endorsement: Mitt Romney
http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20121028/EDIT01/310280050/Enquirer-presidential-endorsement-Mitt-Romney
The paper endorsed McCain in 2008:
Endorsement: McCain for President
http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20081024/EDIT03/810260303

ProSense
(116,464 posts)all the concerned folks?
Somewhere looking for a bad poll for Obama.
ProSense
(116,464 posts)The 7-point lead Obama has among registered voters.
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2012/images/10/26/topoh2.pdf
GOTV
Welcome to DU.
Lone_Star_Dem
(28,158 posts)For those who are so they can give it a read.
ProSense
(116,464 posts)a difference between genuine concern, in states where the race is tight, and selective concern, jumping on a single poll that appears to be an outlier.
The weirdest thing about this election is the media's attempt to push Mitt's narrative. It's absolutely bizarre. Even "Maverick" McCain didn't enjoy this level of sucking up by the MSM.
Mitt Romney is running by far one of the worst campaigns ever, and yet here we are today.
No one else could have survived the numerous debacles and character flaws exposed by his vulture capital years.
The rich are getting their money's worth.
rurallib
(63,518 posts)Always thought I got much more news from my hometown weekly paper than the Enquirer.
I see little has changed.