2016 Postmortem

Godhumor

(6,437 posts) Sun Apr 24, 2016, 08:15 PM Apr 2016

Harry Enten of 538: Clinton lead up to ~295 on Tues. Will be up 300+ into convention

Clinton's elected delegate lead should expand by about a little less than 60 on Tuesday (if polls are to believed). Should be ~295 overall.

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/724373710656909313

Using polls/FiveThirtyEight projections/demographics in remaining states, Clinton is projected to end primaries up +300 elected delegates.

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/724378389805674496

Which indicates a first ballot victory for Clinton at the Convention.

9 replies

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Harry Enten of 538: Clinton lead up to ~295 on Tues. Will be up 300+ into convention (Original Post) Godhumor Apr 2016 OP

Yup. Correct. MineralMan Apr 2016 #1

That may be somewhat conservative Gothmog Apr 2016 #2

Yup. Lucinda Apr 2016 #3

I'm estimating around 305-310 after Tuesday. DCBob Apr 2016 #4

Hillary For President Of The United States of America JaneyVee Apr 2016 #5

Yep Registered Democrats Canceling the Revolution Stallion Apr 2016 #6

That seems about right KingFlorez Apr 2016 #7

Bernie will suspend his campaign on Tuesday... NurseJackie Apr 2016 #8

That's what I think, Jackie Stuckinthebush Apr 2016 #9

MineralMan

(146,262 posts)

1. Yup. Correct.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 08:25 PM

Apr 2016

Gothmog

(144,940 posts)

2. That may be somewhat conservative

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 08:45 PM

Apr 2016

Lucinda

(31,170 posts)

3. Yup.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 09:01 PM

Apr 2016

DCBob

(24,689 posts)

4. I'm estimating around 305-310 after Tuesday.

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 09:07 PM

Apr 2016

Tuesday will be a clean sweep with big wins in MD and PA.

JaneyVee

(19,877 posts)

5. Hillary For President Of The United States of America

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 09:14 PM

Apr 2016

Stallion

(6,473 posts)

6. Yep Registered Democrats Canceling the Revolution

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 09:15 PM

Apr 2016

KingFlorez

(12,689 posts)

7. That seems about right

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 09:16 PM

Apr 2016

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)

8. Bernie will suspend his campaign on Tuesday...

Reply to Godhumor (Original post)

Sun Apr 24, 2016, 11:50 PM

Apr 2016

... or Wednesday. Maybe. If not, he should.

Stuckinthebush

(10,841 posts)

9. That's what I think, Jackie

Reply to NurseJackie (Reply #8)

Mon Apr 25, 2016, 12:14 AM

Apr 2016

He's not a moron and only a moron would keep going. He has to retain his minimal senate influence and insure the Dems don't gonafter his VT seat.

He will be out sooner rather than later

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