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NBC/WSJ/Marist - CO: Obama 48, Romney 48 (LVs, 10/23-24, +/- 2.9%) NV: Obama 50, Romney 47 (LVs, 10/ (Original Post) smorkingapple Oct 2012 OP
Looks good. Thanks. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #1
CO needs some help. LisaL Oct 2012 #2
Colorado's fine Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #6
Good enough for me Maximumnegro Oct 2012 #3
I think NV is solid. Jennicut Oct 2012 #4
We got NV and CO will be close, but if we win VA, NV & OH we don't need CO. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #5
Obama up 63-34 among Latinos in CO & 74-23 in Nevada!!!! WI_DEM Oct 2012 #7
An interesting shift: ProSense Oct 2012 #14
Did they offer RV numbers, out of curiosity? fugop Oct 2012 #8
In CO among RV Obama is up +1, so not much difference. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #9
Remember, NV, OH, WI and Obama has already won with 271 ncav53 Oct 2012 #10
RV: Obama 51, Romney 45 (NV); Obama 48, Romney 47 (CO) ProSense Oct 2012 #11
Wow! What amazing momentum Romney has! Cobalt Violet Oct 2012 #12
Something about any poll involving a Murdoch company (WSJ) Jackpine Radical Oct 2012 #13
Obama ahead by 1 among RV's. Thats more like it.. smorkingapple Oct 2012 #15
Basically, Nevada comes down to who goes to the polls there. Jennicut Oct 2012 #16

LisaL

(44,962 posts)
2. CO needs some help.
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 06:35 PM
Oct 2012

Hopefully Gary Johnson is doing well in there.
Why aren't they including him in polls?

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)
6. Colorado's fine
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 06:37 PM
Oct 2012

Remember Obama has a ground game that is focused on new voters and registered. Only 12 days left. Romney has no path to 270. He cannot defeat the math.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
4. I think NV is solid.
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 06:35 PM
Oct 2012

CO does not surprise me. It will be close there. Repubs have the registration edge there but it will come down to turnout. 4 points with PPP and this being a tie looks like CO is definitely in play. CO and VA would be the states that would be nice as buffers.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
7. Obama up 63-34 among Latinos in CO & 74-23 in Nevada!!!!
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 06:37 PM
Oct 2012

If we could get Obama up to 67-68% with Latinos in CO he would win the state for sure.

ProSense

(116,464 posts)
14. An interesting shift:
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 07:11 PM
Oct 2012
Men and women alike in Denver's suburbs have shifted toward Romney; a month ago, Obama led by 18 points among Denver suburban women, an advantage that closed to 3 percent in the most recent poll. Romney has expanded his lead among Denver's suburban men from 6 points last month to 13 points in this week's poll.

<...>

A month ago, Obama led with independents 50 to 39 percent, an advantage which has shrunk to a virtual draw, 46 to 45 percent. Among women, the president led in September by a whopping 14 points, 54 to 40 percent, a lead that has been halved to 7 percent (52 to 45 percent).

http://firstread.nbcnews.com/_news/2012/10/25/14701395-polls-obama-romney-tied-in-co-incumbent-has-narrow-nev-edge

That's a huge drop among women.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
9. In CO among RV Obama is up +1, so not much difference.
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 06:41 PM
Oct 2012

Obama and Romney are tied at 48 percent among likely voters in Colorado, according to the new NBC News-Wall Street Journal-Marist polls conducted this week, entirely after the third and final presidential debate. Among the broader sample of registered voters, Obama holds a 48 to 47 percent lead over Romney.

smorkingapple

(827 posts)
15. Obama ahead by 1 among RV's. Thats more like it..
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 07:30 PM
Oct 2012

NBC's LV model is flawed. If you didn't vote in 2010 you don't get counted as likely nor if you don't register at least 9/10 interested in the race.

I think a lot of folks are dropping off their screen.

Their polls are pretty good otherwise.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
16. Basically, Nevada comes down to who goes to the polls there.
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 07:34 PM
Oct 2012

NV seems very much a lock at this point. I know CO is not needed but it would be nice to have. Does CO have a big Latino community? I know NV does. CO has more registered Repubs then Dems.

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