2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumRepublicans Need A Cold Shower, Barack Obama Is Still The Favorite
This is a bluff. Romney is carefully attempting to project an atmosphere of momentum, in the hopes of winning positive media coverage and, thus, creating a self-fulfilling prophecy.
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Karl Rove employed exactly this strategy in 2000. As we now know, the race was excruciatingly close, and Al Gore won the national vote by half a percentage point. But at the time, Bush projected a jaunty air of confidence. Rove publicly predicted Bush would win 320 electoral votes. Bush even spent the final days stumping in California, supposedly because he was so sure of victory he wanted an icing-on-the-cake win in a deep blue state. Campaign reporters generally fell for Bushs spin, portraying him as riding the winds of momentum and likewise presenting Al Gore as desperate.
The current landscape is slightly different. The race is also very close, but Obama enjoys a clear electoral college lead. He is ahead by at least a couple points in enough states to make him president. Adding to his base of uncontested states, Nevada, Ohio, and Wisconsin would give Obama 271 electoral votes. According to the current polling averages compiled at fivethirtyeight.com, Obama leads Nevada by 3.5 percent, Ohio by 2.9 percent, and Wisconsin by 4 percent. Should any of those fail, Virginia and Colorado are nearly dead even. (Obama leads by 0.7 percent and 1.0 percent, respectively.) If you dont want to rely on Nate Silver and you should rely on him! the polling averages at realclearpolitics, the conservative-leaning site, dont differ much, either.
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/10/romney-says-hes-winning-its-a-bluff.html
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)Because on the night of Nov 6th if that is Rmoney total, we will know it was rigged. And they will do it with that number, and not feel any guilt whatsoever. And dare anyone to prove fraud.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,704 posts)Google "The 305".
Blaukraut
(5,689 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,704 posts)KKK Rove going on CNN and saying out of the last twenty published national polls, seventeen show George Bush ahead. I didn't know who was going to win with any great degree of certainty but I knew it was going to be close.
Florida was a mess. What people forget that beside the mess in Palm Beach County there were thousands of spoiled ballots in heavily African Americans in Duval County.
Response to DemocratSinceBirth (Reply #2)
LiberalElite This message was self-deleted by its author.
LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)wouldn't that be a start in proving fraud? Or will they claim coincidence and expect us to swallow it?
GetTheRightVote
(5,287 posts)This does not sound good to me when it point to O being way ahead at this time.
doc03
(35,148 posts)political shows. This morning I turn on Morning Joe and it is all over for Obama, he is desperate.
I turn on Rachel and she is talking about each getting 269 and us ending up with Romney as President and Joe Biden a VP and even some scenario where Boner is President. I turn to Jenifer Grandholm and some dude is on there taking about Obama being down -14 with men and Romney only being down -8 with women. So according to him Obama is doing way worse with men and worse with women than in 2008. Even Current is now pushing the horse race crap, neck to neck crap. I think I will watch old movies for the next 13 days.
ffr
(22,644 posts)until I've done everything I can to assure an Obama-Biden victory. Because if they win big, then there's a good chance their coattails will pull other Democrats in as well.
I'm almost to tears with how sick I am of Republican obstructionism.
Two weeks. Then we rest.