2016 Postmortem

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts) Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:16 AM Oct 2012

This is a good looking map from Sabato's Crystal Ball site

http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/category/2012-president/

Note - has Obama at 267 with NH and WI as tossups...I see both as going blue, meaning CO and VA wouldn't matter.

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This is a good looking map from Sabato's Crystal Ball site (Original Post) NRaleighLiberal Oct 2012 OP

One tossup state. Pab Sungenis Oct 2012 #1

I am not counting out NC quite yet, either... NRaleighLiberal Oct 2012 #2

I agree with you! The early vote numbers updated today are great. It seem like over 100,000 hrmjustin Oct 2012 #3

Yes, NC is doing great on early voting. LisaL Oct 2012 #6

Or Florida. Florida should be a tossup, not pink. And WI and NH should be light blue. yellowcanine Oct 2012 #5

We'll get Wisconsin Sugarcoated Oct 2012 #4

It's about a week old MSMITH33156 Oct 2012 #7

Romney is looking at the same reality. That's why he is in CO and NV today. BlueStreak Oct 2012 #8

Good point MSMITH33156 Oct 2012 #9

I think you are exactly right. He's desperate to get CO BlueStreak Oct 2012 #10

Pab Sungenis

(9,612 posts)

1. One tossup state.

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:19 AM

Oct 2012

We only need one. Romney needs them all. Plus FL flip flops back and forth more often than Romney himself, so it might end up in our column anyhow.

NRaleighLiberal

(60,014 posts)

2. I am not counting out NC quite yet, either...

Reply to Pab Sungenis (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:23 AM

Oct 2012

hrmjustin

(71,265 posts)

3. I agree with you! The early vote numbers updated today are great. It seem like over 100,000

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:27 AM

Oct 2012

people voting each day.

LisaL

(44,973 posts)

6. Yes, NC is doing great on early voting.

Reply to hrmjustin (Reply #3)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:50 AM

Oct 2012

yellowcanine

(35,699 posts)

5. Or Florida. Florida should be a tossup, not pink. And WI and NH should be light blue.

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Reply #2)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:49 AM

Oct 2012

And PA should be likely D, not leans D.

Sugarcoated

(7,722 posts)

4. We'll get Wisconsin

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:27 AM

Oct 2012

MSMITH33156

(879 posts)

7. It's about a week old

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 10:58 AM

Oct 2012

I will be interested to see the update.

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)

8. Romney is looking at the same reality. That's why he is in CO and NV today.

Reply to NRaleighLiberal (Original post)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 11:28 AM

Oct 2012

Romney is running out of paths to victory.

MSMITH33156

(879 posts)

9. Good point

Reply to BlueStreak (Reply #8)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 11:40 AM

Oct 2012

That makes sense. Another response to him not being confident in Ohio. If loses Ohio, Colorado and NV, he is done even if he wins NH, VA, NC, FL, WI and IA (not that I think he will).

His trip west (he didn't even stay in Florida and hold an event this morning before leaving). I think he basically knows that Ohio is gone, and that NV is looking gone too, so he basically going out West hoping to hold Colorado, cause that is desperation time.

BlueStreak

(8,377 posts)

10. I think you are exactly right. He's desperate to get CO

Reply to MSMITH33156 (Reply #9)

Tue Oct 23, 2012, 02:06 PM

Oct 2012

It is really peculiar that he wouldn't have done an event in FL before shooting two time zones west. The clock gives you 2 free hours, and it is not like he has Florida in the bag.

They could have done a 9:00 event in Florida and still been in Colorado by around noon local time. That leaves enough time to do 3 events in CO and still do an evening event in Nevada.

He just doesn't seem to be very vigorous in his campaign schedule.

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