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riversedge

(70,187 posts)
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:22 AM Apr 2016

Clinton crushing Sanders in Pennsylvania: Harper Poll Hillary 55 vs Sanders 33

Last edited Wed Apr 6, 2016, 10:20 AM - Edit history (2)

As Hillary said last night -->Forward


Clinton crushing Sanders in Pennsylvania: Harper Poll Hillary 55 vs Sanders 33

http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=edit&forum=1251&thread=1659388




http://thehill.com/blogs/ballot-box/polls/275192-clinton-crushing-sanders-in-pennsylvania


April 05, 2016, 11:35 am
Clinton crushing Sanders in Pennsylvania

By Jonathan Easley


Hillary Clinton has a huge lead over Bernie Sanders in Pennsylvania just three weeks before the primary there.

A Harper Polling survey released Tuesday found Clinton taking 55 percent over Sanders at 33 percent, with 12 percent undecided.

......................


There are 210 delegates up for grabs in Pennsylvania's April 26 primary. Sanders trails Clinton by about 300 delegates overall currently, and needs to start posting victories by wide margins if he’s going to catch her.

In the race to be the Democratic nominee to challenge incumbent Sen. Pat Toomey (R-Pa.), former Rep. Joe Sestak (D-Pa.) is in the lead with 41 percent support, following by former gubernatorial chief of staff Katie McGinty (D) at 31 percent..............



Congratulations to Hillary and Her Team


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21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Clinton crushing Sanders in Pennsylvania: Harper Poll Hillary 55 vs Sanders 33 (Original Post) riversedge Apr 2016 OP
That would result in a 30+ delegate gain... DCBob Apr 2016 #1
Haven't you realized that a Hillary 20 point lead inevitably disintegrates? morningfog Apr 2016 #2
Closed primary, bro Tarc Apr 2016 #6
Dont be butt hurt because Bernie has been kicking Hillary's ass. morningfog Apr 2016 #8
The same pollster had it 57 to 27 a month ago Cal Carpenter Apr 2016 #16
Nope. Only Democrats allowed to vote. DCBob Apr 2016 #9
She's lost closed contests, that is simply not true. morningfog Apr 2016 #11
Sorry.. this is not a caucus. DCBob Apr 2016 #13
Doesn't matter. Like I said, it will narrow considerably. morningfog Apr 2016 #14
Bernie needs a big win to keep his miniscule hopes alive. DCBob Apr 2016 #15
New poll already has him within 6 points. morningfog Apr 2016 #18
That's closer than I thought it would be but he needs alot more than that. DCBob Apr 2016 #19
Now that we turn back to the more diverse states that aren't open to Republican meddling... Tarc Apr 2016 #3
"Deal" cherokeeprogressive Apr 2016 #10
She was up by 40 points in Wisconsin Perogie Apr 2016 #4
I remember a time not so long ago, when 22 points was considered not so 'huge'.. Kentonio Apr 2016 #5
My mom lives there. bobbobbins01 Apr 2016 #7
Message auto-removed Name removed Apr 2016 #12
A real, respectable polling firm, Quinnipiac, not a periodical poll the Clintons can buy Jarqui Apr 2016 #17
Whoops. That didn't last long, did it? Quinnipiac has Sanders within 6 points. Karmadillo Apr 2016 #20
that poll included independents and oversampled Republicans. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #21

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
1. That would result in a 30+ delegate gain...
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:28 AM
Apr 2016

.. and wipe out all the gains Bernie got from his past several "yuuuuuuge" wins.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
2. Haven't you realized that a Hillary 20 point lead inevitably disintegrates?
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:29 AM
Apr 2016

Bernie will close in there just like everywhere else.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
8. Dont be butt hurt because Bernie has been kicking Hillary's ass.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:34 AM
Apr 2016

There is no meddling. Just Hillary losing.

And bookmark it. Hillary will not win by 20 in PA. It will tighten as it consistently does.

Cal Carpenter

(4,959 posts)
16. The same pollster had it 57 to 27 a month ago
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:46 AM
Apr 2016

So she's lost 2 points and he's gained 6. Fwiw.

Dunno what will happen in the next 3 weeks, but it is likely it will get much closer given how things have gone so far.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
11. She's lost closed contests, that is simply not true.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:37 AM
Apr 2016

I know Hillary's peeps are hanging their hat on that, but it will tighten, I guarantee it.

DCBob

(24,689 posts)
15. Bernie needs a big win to keep his miniscule hopes alive.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:46 AM
Apr 2016

That wont happen. In fact he is likely to get trounced.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
18. New poll already has him within 6 points.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:47 AM
Apr 2016

Like I've been saying, if he can maintain, he's viable until June 7 delegate rich day.

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
3. Now that we turn back to the more diverse states that aren't open to Republican meddling...
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:29 AM
Apr 2016

The deal can be sealed.

 

cherokeeprogressive

(24,853 posts)
10. "Deal"
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:35 AM
Apr 2016

I feel like I'm being told the bathroom I'm standing in can actually be listed as a bedroom and I need to hurry up and make an offer on the house because there's someone else in the wings, and the real estate agent wants to "close the deal".

bobbobbins01

(1,681 posts)
7. My mom lives there.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:33 AM
Apr 2016

Lifelong republican. Switched to be a Democrat just to vote for Bernie. PA is a ways away, its going to be a much closer race by then.

Response to riversedge (Original post)

Jarqui

(10,123 posts)
17. A real, respectable polling firm, Quinnipiac, not a periodical poll the Clintons can buy
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 08:47 AM
Apr 2016

has Clinton +6 as of April 6th in a state Sanders hasn't campaigned in
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/pa/pa04062016_Pfgr37w.pdf

When Sanders starts campaigning and more people start finding out who he is and what he stands for, Hillary's numbers always tumble. No Clinton lead is safe but one that small is very vulnerable.

If Hillary is only really+6 now, like Quinnipiac says, she's probably not going to win the state.

PA has a lower black population 11% (the blacks have basically carried Hillary) and folks in PA are not going to be happy with Hillary's support and flip-flops on free trade.

DE and MD have higher black populations that will present tougher challenges for Bernie. And DE is the US's version of Panama or BVI so that probably won't help Bernie.

 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
21. that poll included independents and oversampled Republicans.
Wed Apr 6, 2016, 09:36 AM
Apr 2016

also a very loose voter screen--turnout for the primaries is not 75%.

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