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2016 Postmortem

scheming daemons

(25,487 posts) Mon Oct 22, 2012, 02:11 PM Oct 2012

Today's IBD/TIPP Tracking poll: Obama 47.4, Romney 43.4

This is "likely voters".

I don't know the IBD/TIPP methodology, but they were very accurate in 2004 and 2008.

5 replies

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Today's IBD/TIPP Tracking poll: Obama 47.4, Romney 43.4 (Original Post) scheming daemons Oct 2012 OP

ugh, it tightened n/t flamingdem Oct 2012 #1

Well yesterday was as unrealistic as Gallup MadBadger Oct 2012 #2

On MSNBC Politicalboi Oct 2012 #3

Since NBC/WSJ is an NBC poll I would expect them to use it. WI_DEM Oct 2012 #5

They really weren't "very accurate" in 2004/2008 FBaggins Oct 2012 #4

flamingdem

(39,312 posts)

1. ugh, it tightened n/t

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 02:15 PM

Oct 2012

MadBadger

(24,089 posts)

2. Well yesterday was as unrealistic as Gallup

Reply to flamingdem (Reply #1)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 02:17 PM

Oct 2012

Politicalboi

(15,189 posts)

3. On MSNBC

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 02:18 PM

Oct 2012

They are using WSJ poll 47% to 47%. Even with women and Hispanics, and blacks going for Obama, it's still a "close" race. Impossible IMO.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)

5. Since NBC/WSJ is an NBC poll I would expect them to use it.

Reply to Politicalboi (Reply #3)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 04:20 PM

Oct 2012

FBaggins

(26,727 posts)

4. They really weren't "very accurate" in 2004/2008

Reply to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Oct 22, 2012, 02:23 PM

Oct 2012

Unless you think that the real race was swinging wildly from day to day?

We can't just look a final number and compare it to the actual results. That's overly simplistic.

Most of us on DU who regularly follow polls gave up on these guys years ago. Their main function right now is to offset the almost similarly inexplicable results from Gallup.

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