2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumHillary Clinton’s Support Among Nonwhite Voters Has Collapsed
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/hillary-clintons-support-_b_9579544.htmlLatest blog.
So no, its not a coincidence that, in the 18 state primary elections since March 1st, Bernie Sanders has won on Election Day in 12 of them.
(Thats right: Bernie won among live and provisional ballots in Arizona, Illinois, and Missouri.)
Of Clintons five post-March 1st Election Day wins, four (Mississippi, Louisiana, Florida, and North Carolina) were in the South, and were made possible by a level of support among nonwhite voters that Clinton no longer enjoys. Indeed, this coalition was already collapsing when Clinton won in Florida and North Carolina on March 15th. At the polls in North Carolina on Election Day, Clinton won just 52 percent to 48 percent, including the tens of thousands of provisional ballots cast (which, still being counted, have gone, as expected, 57 percent for Senator Sanders). In Florida, the 36-point edge Clinton held in the first three weeks of early voting (February 15th to March 7th) dwindled to a 13.4-point edge among those who made their decision regarding who to vote for from March 8th to March 15th.
In short, the Clinton campaign is in the midst of an historic collapse much of it due to the unraveling of support for Clinton among nonwhite voters and the national media has yet to take any notice.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)It will be interesting if this holds true for NY as well.
dchill
(38,471 posts)Bernie won among live and provisional ballots in Arizona, Illinois, and Missouri.
Now, if everyone would have been allowed to vote...
CorporatistNation
(2,546 posts)With utmost respect, this is a direct result of people across the nation becoming increasingly both with Bernie as a net positive person who can be TRUSTED and as well people becoming more in tune with just "WHO" Hillary Clinton... REALLY IS...
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)She has always been winning.Up in the popular votes and delegates...SHe has not lost the non white votes..
Wilms
(26,795 posts)nashville_brook
(20,958 posts)hrm.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)UMTerp01
(1,048 posts)Sanders folks said that the more he got his message out there the more that the tide would turn. I think that is the case. However, is it too late? Did the delegate lead she built early on make it impossible for him to catch up since the wins he needs have to be by big margins? Tis very interesting though. She was already doing much worse with white voters than in 08. Now, at this point in the election you have Blacks not turning out for her the way they did Obama in 08 and 12, coupled with Bernie making inroads across all people of color and you have this. But again...is it too late?
DirkGently
(12,151 posts)CrowCityDem
(2,348 posts)Why is there constant denigration of early votes? If anything, all that proves is that Hillary's voters are even more enthused, because they felt strongly enough to go vote early. Votes are votes, and it's disgusting that "progressives" are trying to say otherwise.
SoLeftIAmRight
(4,883 posts)hello - enjoy
baldguy
(36,649 posts)grossproffit
(5,591 posts)cosmicone
(11,014 posts)the twin of HA Goodman
Uncle Joe
(58,349 posts)because she sees the writing on the wall.
Thanks for the thread, artislife.
dogman
(6,073 posts)Awful close to assault. But maybe the questioner had a pen that could have been a bomb.
artislife
(9,497 posts)Can't wait to do step 2 of a multi step caucus ritual in WA. Feeling the Bern!