PPP Obama Regains Lead in Iowa O:49 R:48

[My Pet Goat]

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now

Likely voters, +2 change from PPP poll a few days ago.

Leads 64 to 35 for folks who have already voted. PPP states it will be "very difficult" for Romney to erase this gap in two weeks.

Leads Women 53 to 44.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-by-1-in-iowa.html

[TroyD]

1. Why are they doing another Iowa poll only a few days after the last one?

Do you think they felt pressured to do another one after their last one conflicted with the other pollsters?

[LisaL]

2. Who the hell knows.

I think his lead is larger than just one point, based on early voting.

[My Pet Goat]

4. PPP conducted the poll for HCAN

"A new Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now"

Sorry for the confusion, I updated the post.

[Pirate Smile]

7. It looks like Somebody paid them to do it.

[regnaD kciN]

9. They were hired by someone else...

...so conducted a separate poll.

Keep in mind that PPP now runs their own tracker, as well as a separate non-tracker national poll for DKos/SEIU that gets released on Tuesday. I'm wondering how the next release of that poll compares to their tracker covering the same days -- I bet they'll give very different results.

[TroyD]

3. PPP

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Iowa conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now

What's with PPP conducting all these polls for other organizations lately?

[Shivering Jemmy]

11. They want to make money

Is my guess

[courseofhistory]

5. Good news! n/t

[Drunken Irishman]

6. Oh that's just ridiculous.

I'm sorry. But these polls are all over the place. Candidates just don't gain and lose support as fast as these polls would have us believe.

[My Pet Goat]

10. Change of +2 could be noise....

But it certainly means Obama is stable in this state.

I agree with others that PPP probably tends to understate Obama's strength in the state. Still, good for the narrative. Meet the Press was discussing the earlier Iowa PPP poll today where O was down one point.

PPP also went out of there way to note the lopsided nature of the early voter numbers.

[Drunken Irishman]

15. My guess is that Obama wins Iowa by 5-8 points.

[demwing]

14. All the movement s within the MOE

it seems like bullshit (and maybe ALL polling IS bullshit), but it really is explained in the math.

[WI_DEM]

16. It's basically no change from the last poll that had Romney up +1

with moe Obama could have been leading.

[PM Martin]

8. The polls are all over the place.

This problem seems to a unique only to America and third world nations.

[MSMITH33156]

12. What nonsense

makes you feel that the poll early this week was a troll job to get conservatives pumped and liberals freaked.

[WI_DEM]

13. I really think Obama is banking enough votes in Iowa to win. We gotta keep it up.

[Jennicut]

17. The results are different because the Party ID is different in this poll. It was plus 4 R in the

previous poll. In this one it is +7 D.
NBC/WSJ/Marist had it as D+2 but had Obama ahead by 8.
Internal polling done on IA per Charlie Cook has shown anywhere from Romney with a 1 point lead to Obama with a 7 point lead.
I would say based on early voting, Iowa will probably be close but tilt to Obama. Maybe a 3 point win?

PPP simply reached a different set of people with a more Dem lean this time. I don't think it was on purpose. That's what happens with robopolls. If you think robopolling is awful, consider that Gallup is not.