An Interesting Antidote To The Doom And Gloomers

[DemocratSinceBirth]

In the wake of his improved debate performance, President Obama’s recovery is now apparent. It is most clear when viewed in terms of the Meta-Analysis of state polls. Over the last four days, the Popular Vote Meta-Margin – the amount of swing it would take to create an electoral near-tie – has moved by over 1.0%. Today, the President’s effective lead, using Electoral College mechanisms, is Obama +1.8%. A rapid move like this usually continues for a few more days as polls catch up with the nation’s mental state.

But why do national polls continue to look so close, and in about half of cases good for Mitt Romney? To answer that, let’s take a look back at the effects of all three debates so far.

http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/21/anatomy-of-a-bounce/#more-7753

[imgbitepolitic]

1. Also

The most accurate polster in 2008 has obama winning by 3.

http://news.investors.com/special-report/508415-ibdtipp-poll.aspx