For those of you who may be fretting over Gallup...
...Here is an interesting read by Sam Wang: http://election.princeton.edu/2012/10/19/bidens-sunrise/
In particular -
"Despite the newspapers’ fascination with the most extreme surveys (Gallup comes to mind), these are exactly the ones you should ignore. Instead, use the middle one (a.k.a. median) of all available surveys. Doing so gives Romney +0.5% +/- 0.8% (n=10, Oct. 11-18 survey dates).
During that same period, President Obama has been ahead in the Electoral College, with 277-290 electoral votes and a Meta-Margin fluctuating around Obama +0.6 to +1.5%. This means that Obama currently has a structural advantage in swing states of 1-2% compared with national polls. In other words, Obama could lose the popular vote yet win the election. Something similar happened in 2000 when George W. Bush lost the popular vote, yet became President. Live by the sword, die by the sword."
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