2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDemocraticWing
(1,290 posts)This will only happen if there is a major shift in the race that:
A) allows Bernie to run up big margins in Arizona, Idaho, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin, Oregon, Kentucky, etc.
B) allows Bernie to win 55%+ of the delegates up for grab in New York, California, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey.
I don't foresee this happening, based on probabilities. Bernie could conceivably win any of the remaining states in my opinion, but even if he won all of them I'm not sure he can win any by the margins needed.
brooklynite
(93,842 posts)...no opportunities for Independents to join in.
Kalidurga
(14,177 posts)this means most are well aware of what they would have to do to vote in the Democratic primaries. I wouldn't count on Independents not being a factor. But, go ahead and not worry about them. It will make 0 difference by the time the convention comes around.
Algernon Moncrieff
(5,780 posts)Many caucuses. Many votes in smaller, less diverse states. That is not to say that Hillary won't continue to pick up delegates, but these are in Sanders wheelhouse.
Where I expect to see the deal start to close is in April. New York votes, and then a bunch of the Mid-Atlantic states. That's when I expect to see Hillary close in on the winning delegate total.