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CNN: Clinton will end evening up 250-300 Pledged delegates... (Original Post) brooklynite Mar 2016 OP
This seems correct. Bernie would need about 57% of remaining delegates to draw even. DemocraticWing Mar 2016 #1
A lot of those States are closed Primaries... brooklynite Mar 2016 #2
Guess what Independents run more liberal than conservative now Kalidurga Mar 2016 #4
I think if you look at the next 4 weeks, they look good for Bernie Sanders Algernon Moncrieff Mar 2016 #5
Now THAT'S what I'm talkin about! NurseJackie Mar 2016 #3

DemocraticWing

(1,290 posts)
1. This seems correct. Bernie would need about 57% of remaining delegates to draw even.
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 10:46 PM
Mar 2016

This will only happen if there is a major shift in the race that:

A) allows Bernie to run up big margins in Arizona, Idaho, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin, Oregon, Kentucky, etc.
B) allows Bernie to win 55%+ of the delegates up for grab in New York, California, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey.

I don't foresee this happening, based on probabilities. Bernie could conceivably win any of the remaining states in my opinion, but even if he won all of them I'm not sure he can win any by the margins needed.

Kalidurga

(14,177 posts)
4. Guess what Independents run more liberal than conservative now
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 10:50 PM
Mar 2016

this means most are well aware of what they would have to do to vote in the Democratic primaries. I wouldn't count on Independents not being a factor. But, go ahead and not worry about them. It will make 0 difference by the time the convention comes around.

Algernon Moncrieff

(5,780 posts)
5. I think if you look at the next 4 weeks, they look good for Bernie Sanders
Tue Mar 15, 2016, 10:55 PM
Mar 2016

Many caucuses. Many votes in smaller, less diverse states. That is not to say that Hillary won't continue to pick up delegates, but these are in Sanders wheelhouse.

Where I expect to see the deal start to close is in April. New York votes, and then a bunch of the Mid-Atlantic states. That's when I expect to see Hillary close in on the winning delegate total.

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