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WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:25 PM Oct 2012

So what do you think of all these YouGov Polls? (CO, FL, IA, NV, OH, PA, VA)

Obama leads in all but North Carolina where it's Romney +1

Latest Swing State Polls
Here are the latest polls from the battleground states, updated as needed:

Colorado: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

Florida: Obama 49%, Romney 47% (YouGov)

Iowa: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (YouGov)

Nevada: Obama 50%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

North Carolina: Romney 49%, Obama 48% (YouGov)

Ohio: Obama 50%, Romney 46% (YouGov)

Pennsylvania: Obama 51%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

Virginia: Obama 46%, Romney 45% (YouGov)

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/10/16/latest_swing_state_polls.html

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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So what do you think of all these YouGov Polls? (CO, FL, IA, NV, OH, PA, VA) (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP
Don't know anything about their methodology. woolldog Oct 2012 #1
Click on the link WI_DEM Oct 2012 #7
nvm found it woolldog Oct 2012 #8
Internet polls. Meh. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #2
2nd most accurate in 2008. Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #5
are these internet polls? woolldog Oct 2012 #6
Yes, panels of paid online respondents. File under 'zogby' nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #9
This message was self-deleted by its author AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #11
They Were Very Accurate In 2008 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #14
Zogby was considered aces after getting 2000 right. geek tragedy Oct 2012 #18
Zogby's 2000 Poll Was A Traditional Poll DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #19
They've been polling in the UK for a long time Mutiny In Heaven Oct 2012 #20
They Are Internet Polls Designed To Emulate Traditional Polls DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #12
Still the issue of non-random samples. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #15
I Agree 100% DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #17
Doesn't stop bad news polls from getting hyped. nt geek tragedy Oct 2012 #21
I mzmolly Oct 2012 #3
Great polls! I don't know enough about the pollster. hrmjustin Oct 2012 #4
I Do Lot's of YouGov Pollls otohara Oct 2012 #10
They've been pretty good in the past, from what I've seen. AverageJoe90 Oct 2012 #13
As a VA resident who can't afford to move to MD, I don't think I could take it if President Obama forestpath Oct 2012 #16
 

woolldog

(8,791 posts)
1. Don't know anything about their methodology.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:27 PM
Oct 2012

And how accurate they've been in the past.

Do you have any info on that?

Of course the headline numbers are nice.

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts)
7. Click on the link
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:31 PM
Oct 2012

the link will take you to the page where the polls are found then click on that link for whichever state you want to look at and it should have information regarding methodology, etc.

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)
5. 2nd most accurate in 2008.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:30 PM
Oct 2012

Very good in the UK.

They're much more reliable than Gallup, though obviously every pollster has its up and downs.

 

woolldog

(8,791 posts)
6. are these internet polls?
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:31 PM
Oct 2012

The numbers seem consistent with the rest of the polling I've seen, except florida and colorado, which I suspect is very close.

Response to geek tragedy (Reply #9)

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
14. They Were Very Accurate In 2008
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:43 PM
Oct 2012

In 2008, Rasmussen and the Pew Research Center polls were the best at picking who would be the next president and by what margin.

In fact, the two polling institutions' pre-election projections were the same as the actual election outcome, according to research by Costas Panagopoulos, a Fordham University political science professor.

Panagopoulos ranked 23 major polling organizations by the accuracy of their final 2008 presidential election polls. Here is his list:

1. Rasmussen

1. Pew Research Center

2. YouGov/Polimetrix


http://www.gazettenet.com/2012/09/15/a-look-at-polling-accuracy-in-2008

Mutiny In Heaven

(550 posts)
20. They've been polling in the UK for a long time
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:48 PM
Oct 2012

using this method and have usually been very accurate. Must weight their polls well.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,708 posts)
17. I Agree 100%
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:46 PM
Oct 2012

But as you can see by my above link some of the internet pollsters did much better than traditional posters.

My problem with yougov is their numbers are already five days old.

 

AverageJoe90

(10,745 posts)
13. They've been pretty good in the past, from what I've seen.
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:41 PM
Oct 2012

They have, in fact, done a better job than Gallup and Pew over these past few weeks. Their results tend to line up with ABC and NBC as well.

Though, TBH, I think they may be underestimating our advantage in Nevada. Remember what happened in 2010? Everybody thought Angle was going to win. Then her opponent kicked her ass to the curb. You know why that was? Three words: The. Chicano. Vote.

 

forestpath

(3,102 posts)
16. As a VA resident who can't afford to move to MD, I don't think I could take it if President Obama
Tue Oct 16, 2012, 08:45 PM
Oct 2012

didn't take VA again. And I'd feel a lot better if he was ahead by more than one point.

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