2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie won the Hispanic vote yesterday.
The Huerta flap was created by Hillary Inc. to detract from this FACT and drown it out so that maybe, just maybe, people wouldn't notice that Hillary's Hispanic firewall was destroyed in Nevada yesterday.
And maybe - we also wouldn't remember that she won the Hispanic vote in NV in 2008 against Obama and fully anticipated she'd do even better this go-round against Sanders. Yet, she took what was a sure bet and managed to turn it into a negative.
So here's to that firewall!
GONE....OBLITERATED.....
POOF!!!!!
Hillary Inc. should be very concerned about her failure to convince Nevada's Hispanic voters that she knows what's best for them.
Faux pas
(14,667 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)But you think she lost the Latino/Latina vote on the basis of a small sample entry poll?
Good luck with that.
farleftlib
(2,125 posts)That's gotta hurt.
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)But we shall see exactly what happened when we get a final analysis of the voting patterns. I have not yet seen one posted, likely because they still are tabulating votes. Right now, my browser information shows that 95% of the results have been reported so far. Although the rounded figures (53-47) remain the same, Hillary's percentage (now 52.7%) has increased slightly from when she was declared the winner.
Here is one result from the WaPo, but it doesn't really break the vote down yet. https://www.washingtonpost.com/2016-election-results/nevada/ The link to the caucus website itself does not work for me, but perhaps someone else can provide a good one.
Hillary would simply not have been able to win the purple areas from the WaPo's description without STRONG support from Latinos, so the entrance poll predictions appear to be wrong. People also can change their minds while they are at a caucus because of persuasion from their peers much more easily than they can in the solitude of a polling booth. Some do exactly that.
Nitram
(22,791 posts)...measuring Hispanic voters in the Nevada caucus. It found that Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton by eight percentage points among Hispanic voters...The actual election returns in Las Vegass Clark County hint at a different story. Analyzed neighborhood by neighborhood, they suggest that Mrs. Clinton might have won the Hispanic vote by a comfortable margin. She won about 60 percent of delegates in heavily Hispanic areas, a result that calls the finding of the polling into question."
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/02/22/upshot/why-clinton-not-sanders-probably-won-the-hispanic-vote-in-nevada.html?_r=0
BlueMTexpat
(15,366 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)The wait staffs of the casino/hotels are heavily, heavily, ...Latino and Hillary carried the caucus sites on the strip by a magnitude of 2-1 or greater:
?@RalstonReports
Strip site delegates for Hillary: Caesars 28-12, Harrahs 25-11, Wynn 15-9, Paris 13-6, Rio 5-3, NY NY 23-11
The entrance/exit polls also had them tied. HRC won by 6%
SidDithers
(44,228 posts)Sid