2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama Coming Back Among Registered Voters - Gallup
Obama Coming Back Among Registered Voters
Obama's slight 49% to 46% seven-day lead among registered voters is just about where it was in the seven days prior to the debate. This trend suggests that Romney's impressive debate performance -- 72% of debate watchers said he did the better job -- may not have a lasting impact. Additionally, Friday's generally positive jobs report from the government, showing that unemployment fell below 8% for the first time since January 2009, may have helped Obama's standing.
Although Gallup's main focus is on seven-day rolling averages, a breakdown of interviewing over shorter periods can be helpful in understanding the short-term impact of events like conventions and debates. As Gallup reported Monday, Romney gained ground among registered voters in the immediate aftermath of his Oct. 3 debate, moving from a five-point deficit prior to the debate to a tie in the immediate three days that followed. Most of that gain was driven by substantial Romney leads in the Thursday and Friday tracking.
Since Saturday, however, Obama has regained a 50% to 45% edge among registered voters in interviewing conducted Sunday and Monday -- the same as his margin in the three days prior to the debate. Although these two days of interviewing involve relatively small sample sizes, they suggest that Romney's debate "bounce" may be fading.

More at - http://www.gallup.com/poll/157955/romney-obama-among-likely-voters.aspx


My Pet Goat
(413 posts)Baitball Blogger
(49,014 posts)people's concern. Lost a productive morning.
SleeplessinSoCal
(9,836 posts)FBaggins
(27,935 posts)The President fell (net) two points in the most recent RV results.
More importantly... there's little point in talking about RVs much longer.
mzmolly
(51,855 posts)Gallup has denoted why discussing RV's is still important. Thus the thread.
FBaggins
(27,935 posts)...on a day when they say he lost two points by that measure?
The jump in the other direction was likely a rounding issue (unlikely to actually be a 2-point jump either way), but it still implies that Monday's data was worse than last Monday's.
mzmolly
(51,855 posts)More recent polls, show a "come back" so to speak. Reading the link should clear up any confusion you have.
Here is the relevant part, once again:
Since Saturday, however, Obama has regained a 50% to 45% edge among registered voters in interviewing conducted Sunday and Monday -- the same as his margin in the three days prior to the debate. Although these two days of interviewing involve relatively small sample sizes, they suggest that Romney's debate "bounce" may be fading.

SunSeeker
(54,435 posts)
Liberal Veteran
(22,239 posts)I wish people would keep in mind the media has a stake in a tight race story.
mzmolly
(51,855 posts)and B) not that relevant unless the trend lingers. .. Though it is frightening to consider an Obama loss.
MADem
(135,425 posts)MORE ads!
A blowout would send all that national money to local races, and the networks would not see the benefit.
They want that PAC money, that candidate money, that special interest money...they want the CASH.
The word has gone forth, too--the talking heads have their marching orders...
Liberalynn
(7,549 posts)GOTV
mzmolly
(51,855 posts)SleeplessinSoCal
(9,836 posts)SleeplessinSoCal
(9,836 posts)It would be best suited to Wisconsin, Ohio, Michigan and Florida.
Romney can't be trusted, we know that. Everyone knows that. He's a flip-flopper. But one thing we know is that he wants a business model presidency. That should do it for Wisconsin, Ohio and Michigan. Bottom line legislation isn't good for them. Florida needs a major push in the direction of Medicare reality. Romney's down there misrepresenting Obama's cuts. And he's not being honest about the changes they would make almost immediately. A huge push of thoughtful, gentle truth telling to Florida seniors on Medicare and Obamacare could win Florida.
bushisanidiot
(8,064 posts)romney's little blip of a "bump" that only last a few days.
Cha
(306,799 posts)mzmolly
(51,855 posts)Thanks yourself, Cha.
FLyellowdog
(4,276 posts)because all these other downer posts are breaking my heart. I come to DU to be uplifted and energized but too many posters are calling doom and gloom and I simply cannot stand it.
At this stage of the game my anxiety level has gone through the roof and I'm almost to the point of dropping off the edge of the Earth. Am I the only one who feels this way?
I just want good news....please....just good news. OK? OK.