American Life Panel: Obama 49.07, Romney 45.24 - Romney's surge is officially over.

[Drunken Irishman]

Romney saw a slight uptick of .5% from yesterday's ... but Obama saw a .77% rise, indicating Romney's surge is completely over for the time being.

https://mmicdata.rand.org/alp/?page=election#election-forecast

[TroyD]

1. 'Romney's surge is officially over'

These sort of statements make me nervous.

[Drunken Irishman]

2. 'Romney's surge is just beginning...'

Better?

[A-Schwarzenegger]

3. Careful, that one is a nervous one and some could splash on you.

[TroyD]

4. I just don't want anything to get jinxed again like last week

But I'm encouraged that the Senate numbers remain very strong for most of our races across the country. The polls today did not appear to show any erosion, and in some cases there were actually some gains.

Warren (MA), Heitkamp (ND), Kaine (VA), Nelson (FL) and many others are doing very well and are much farther ahead than they were during the Summer.

[Cha]

6. Hawai'i?

[TroyD]

7. Yes - Hawaii looks very good

I posted a Hawaii poll last week showing both Obama and Hirono ahead by large margins:

Obama (+32)

http://www.civilbeat.com/articles/2012/10/03/17279-civil-beat-poll-obama-gets-aloha-in-hawaii/

Hirono (+16)

http://www.civilbeat.com/articles/2012/10/01/17260-civil-beat-poll-hirono-up-big-on-lingle/

[Cha]

8. Yeah, thanks, I saw it.. I just can't get

enough of it!

She has her challenger's pic on her Campaign page to remind people what a horror flick she was for 8 years as the repubCon gov of Hawai'i.

http://www.mazieforhawaii.com/

[DCBob]

19. Jinxed??

so magic caused Obama's numbers to drop? You are too much.

[RBInMaine]

5. "Nervous" "Worried" ... With all respect, many liberals need to get over this syndrome.

[DCBob]

20. All this nervousness makes me nervous.

Get over it.

[corkhead]

9. Will someone please tell Steve Inskeep

I had to turn the radio off this morning. NPR has become a wall to wall Rmoney Infomercial

[stlsaxman]

10. Inskeep, Roz, et al- it's like they're the "Liberal Bureau" of FOX...

NPR LOVES the GOP.

But- surprisingly Cokie The Clown was pretty realistic about this yesterday.

[CountAllVotes]

11. Rmoney had a surge?

Sheesh, a surge eh? Was it a big one or a little one?

[cheezmaka]

12. "Ok everyone 'the alarm has stopped'. Time to go back to class..."

[DemKittyNC]

13. I was never worried

Rmoneys "surges" are so pathetic they are almost invisible or non-existent. The only so called surge Rmoney is generating is the SURGE of the tidal wave that will be carrying him to the unemployment line come November 7th.

[bushisanidiot]

14. A four point lead actually, is still showing a slight bump for mittwitt

The Presidents lead is going to widen a week from now. There may a bogus outlier (pew) here and there, but even the Romney campaign knows they are on the way back down. As we. Speak they are grasping at strays to try to find something to hit the President with since the 7.8 unemployment rate has knocked the economy off the the table.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

16. The polls are all over the place. It keeps us politica scientists interested and employed.

What we are witnessing here is a great deal of noise. There were two huge events that are contributing to that noise: the first debate and the job numbers. I'm afraid that we'll have a few more days to deal with this due to the Biden-Ryan debate on Thursday. Things won't settle in for awhile because of these debates. Remember: the second presidential debate is next Tuesday. Again, these polls will be all over the place.

[Cosmocat]

18. There is a real good chance this was his campaign high water mark

The media SO wants a horse race, and the normal good news for R/bad news for Ds BS.

This whole breathless, ROMNEY BEAT HIM IN THE DEBATE, IT IS A NEW RACE crape is just so far from reality for most people. It got the gop all hot and bothered, and pushed some of his leaners to him. but, it does not change the fact that President Obama has been a pretty good president overall, and that Romney is an unabashed buffoon.

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

15. How credible is this poll? Thanks for sharing.

[7worldtrade]

17. Nate Silver includes it in his 538 analysis

http://tweetwood.com/fivethirtyeight/tweet/244609517994786816

[DemocratSinceBirth]

21. It's An Internet Poll So It's A Non Random Sample

But a lot of internet polls like yougov and harris online did a good job the past one or two elections. And it is Rand. They aren't going to put out garbage.

[bushisanidiot]

22. Romney's "sugar high" is disapating quickly.

he won't even know it until after the election though.

he's so arrogant, he will sue after he loses the election.

he will NOT be a gracious loser. mark my words.

bullies never are.