2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumDemocrats only won the presidential vote 1 time in SC since 1964.
Please explain to me again why some of the Hillary supporters keep screaming that it is such an important state in the Democratic Primaries?
msongs
(67,394 posts)That doesn't really explain why some Hillary supporters are holding SC out as if only a win in SC is important.
SC will NOT go blue, no matter who wins.
Starting to see the point? A win there by either candidate does not presage a Democratic victory in the Presidential race.
Matariki
(18,775 posts)brush
(53,764 posts)Something you'd think 100% of the people on this site would know.
Yeah, a fish is different than a telephone too.
What's your point?
brush
(53,764 posts)You don't see a problem with that?
We're going into a primary now not the presidential vote.
Bonobo
(29,257 posts)My point is in response to the claims that NH and Iowa are meaningless and that only if Bernie wins SC can we take him seriously.
NanceGreggs
(27,813 posts)The primaries are about states choosing the Dem nominee, and have nothing to do with the general.
If BS doesn't win in the remaining states, he WON'T be the nominee - and he won't be taken seriously if he's not.
NH an Iowa are "meaningless" in the sense that their demographics are not reflective of the Party at large. To be "taken seriously", BS has to win in states where the demographics are as diversified as the nation itself. THAT would be the proof that he appeals to all segments of Dem voters - black, white, Hispanic, Asian, etc. - and not just the overwhelmingly-white voters in Iowa and NH.
And you KNOW that, Bonobo.
Roy Ellefson
(279 posts)I don't get it either
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)Americans in the Democratic nominee selection process. So that's one of the reasons it is significant. NH and Iowa are very white. Nevada is more diverse but SC is what it is.
Bonobo
(29,257 posts)Just as White people are different from state to state.
South Carolina is South Carolina.
Cheese Sandwich
(9,086 posts)It's politics. They want to hype up the importance of something they expect to win really big.
Bonobo
(29,257 posts)They are hanging onto a desperate hope that the disparity between white voters and black voters will continue.
But, overall, it is not a smart strategy to keep saying "Fuck White people. They're not important."
brush
(53,764 posts)bettyellen
(47,209 posts)Go home, you're embarrassing Bernie.
TTUBatfan2008
(3,623 posts)with his race-baiting bullshit.
Bonobo
(29,257 posts)I didn't say "Fuck White people. They're not important."
Nor do I say that anyone here says that explicitly.
But the prevailing message from some Hill supporters that Iowa and NH don't matter because of the amount of White people is not a good message.
Response to Bonobo (Reply #26)
Post removed
TheBlackAdder
(28,182 posts)REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
This is nothing but a personal attack. "Race baiting", "stuck in slime". Please hide.
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You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:55 AM, and the Jury voted 4-3 to HIDE IT.
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1StrongBlackMan
(31,849 posts)perhaps you should examine why it is, that is what you are "hearing".
BeyondGeography
(39,367 posts)He wins mostly red states and loses the big blue ones!
Whatever.
Response to Bonobo (Original post)
CobaltBlue This message was self-deleted by its author.
Bonobo
(29,257 posts)Response to CobaltBlue (Reply #7)
CobaltBlue This message was self-deleted by its author.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Only twice since 1976 has South Carolina primary winner gone on to win the nomination. And neither the Democratic candidate or South Carolina primary winner is going to carry South Carolina in the General Election. IOW, South Carolina is pretty far down the totem pole when it comes to being a bellweather state.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... win over PoC in SC where his numbers are where the GOPs pols are
Bonobo
(29,257 posts)I strongly believe that some of the support going to Clinton is because he remains the presumptive nominee.
As that chips away, so too will her numbers.
And that is not rank speculation. Her numbers have not gone up as this Primary has gone on. Only down.
This is a terrible, terrible sign of things to come for your candidate.
In the end, as a deep red state, I personally attach as much significance to the will of the SC populace as I do to other deep red states.
BeyondGeography
(39,367 posts)realize how silly this thread is.
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)...it mathematically reached a critical mass during the mid 2000s.
frylock
(34,825 posts)50%? 75% for Hillary?
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... heard his message they didn't like it by a wide margin.
He was known and had name recognition so those to factors didn't exist in IA
frylock
(34,825 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)... that's significant no?
frylock
(34,825 posts)uponit7771
(90,335 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)bye.
HooptieWagon
(17,064 posts)Beacool
(30,247 posts)Bernie Sanders will win at least 13 of the Democratic delegates in New Hampshire and Hillary Clinton will win at least nine. Two delegates haven't yet been allocated.
In the overall race for delegates, Clinton has 394, thanks in large part to endorsements from superdelegates party officials who can support the candidate of their choice.
Sanders has 42 delegates.
It takes 2,382 delegates to win the Democratic nomination for president.
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)Same thing is true for Idaho . . . this frickin' state has gone for the Republican candidate ever since 1964.
It's enough to make me puke!
uponit7771
(90,335 posts)Gothmog
(145,086 posts)Texas has almost three times the number of delegates as Iowa and New Hampshire combined. The purpose of the primary process is to win delegates and South Carolina has more delegates than New Hampshire.
MineralMan
(146,284 posts)Democrats are represented at the national convention, regardless of which state they live in. South Carolina sends 59 delegates to the convention. 53 of those are pledged delegates, selection proportionally to the primary voting.
That's more delegates than either Iowa or New Hampshire, so that state's Democrats are truly more important than either of the other two states. More delegates = more importance in selecting the nominee.
Whether South Carolina votes in the General Election for Democratic Presidents or not is irrelevant to the Democratic Party nominating process. The Democrats in SC have the right to be represented, according to the population of their state, basically.
The Presidential nomination is a national process. All 50 states are represented at the convention.
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)Not just the states we expect to win or battle for in the GE.
Not sure why this is hard to understand.
Vinca
(50,255 posts)In the general it's a long shot at best.