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Democrats only won the presidential vote 1 time in SC since 1964. (Original Post) Bonobo Feb 2016 OP
because it's a ....primary? nt msongs Feb 2016 #1
Ummm, what? Bonobo Feb 2016 #3
Delegates is why Matariki Feb 2016 #21
Exactamento! There's a big difference between the primaries and the general brush Feb 2016 #5
LOL. What? Bonobo Feb 2016 #8
The title of your OP about dems only having won the presidential vote SC once since 1964 brush Feb 2016 #18
I get that. Bonobo Feb 2016 #23
You don't seem to really "get that". NanceGreggs Feb 2016 #29
exactly Roy Ellefson Feb 2016 #2
It's the first primary with a lot of black people. It's understood as the first big voice of African Cheese Sandwich Feb 2016 #4
Black people in SC are different than Black people in other states Bonobo Feb 2016 #9
Team Hillary is hyping it because they expect to win there by a huuuuge margin Cheese Sandwich Feb 2016 #14
Yep! Iowa and NH = "Yawn, they're white". Bonobo Feb 2016 #17
Ahhh . . . that's not the point. 60% of dems in SC are African Americans brush Feb 2016 #19
Just delete this crap ---> ""Fuck White people. They're not important."" bettyellen Feb 2016 #24
No more than David Brock embarrasses the Clintons... TTUBatfan2008 Feb 2016 #25
You clearly misunderstand. Bonobo Feb 2016 #26
Post removed Post removed Feb 2016 #27
Another act of censorship, preventing discourse from playing out. (Pretend everything's fine.) TheBlackAdder Feb 2016 #30
Except no one is saying that ... 1StrongBlackMan Feb 2016 #34
That was the Clinton argument against Obama in '08 BeyondGeography Feb 2016 #6
This message was self-deleted by its author CobaltBlue Feb 2016 #7
Well, they got it wrong in 1988, 2000 and 2004. nt Bonobo Feb 2016 #10
This message was self-deleted by its author CobaltBlue Feb 2016 #15
This^ HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #32
PoC went to Hillary by 25% above Sanders after 3 months of campaiging in IA... he has 3 weeks to uponit7771 Feb 2016 #11
His numbers will improve. Bonobo Feb 2016 #13
When Bernie wins the Idaho and Utah caucuses maybe you'll BeyondGeography Feb 2016 #16
+1, post of the night... I don't see how people are still minimizing the PoC vote in the US seeing uponit7771 Feb 2016 #22
And what was it at 3 months prior to the caucus? frylock Feb 2016 #20
Down 2 billion, that's irrelevant to the point that were he spent a lot o time campaigning and PoC uponit7771 Feb 2016 #33
What's irrelevant is you continuing to throw out that number like it means something. frylock Feb 2016 #37
It does, they knew who Sanders was... heard his message and voted against it in large numbers uponit7771 Feb 2016 #38
Not without something to compare it to. frylock Feb 2016 #40
We can compare it to 08... right?! uponit7771 Feb 2016 #41
I'd settle for September 2015. frylock Feb 2016 #42
And PoC in NH went nearly 50% for Sanders. HooptieWagon Feb 2016 #31
One word: Delegates. Beacool Feb 2016 #12
That was because of the 1964 Civil Rights Act. Major Hogwash Feb 2016 #28
What's wrong the the 64 CRA? I thought it was a good thing for the country... uponit7771 Feb 2016 #39
Because South Carolina has 53 delegates compared to NH's 24 Gothmog Feb 2016 #35
Simple. Every state has Democrats in it. MineralMan Feb 2016 #36
Because every state's Democrats should have a voice in picking our nominee Godhumor Feb 2016 #43
Because of the delegate count. Vinca Feb 2016 #44

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
3. Ummm, what?
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 12:59 AM
Feb 2016

That doesn't really explain why some Hillary supporters are holding SC out as if only a win in SC is important.

SC will NOT go blue, no matter who wins.

Starting to see the point? A win there by either candidate does not presage a Democratic victory in the Presidential race.

brush

(53,764 posts)
5. Exactamento! There's a big difference between the primaries and the general
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:00 AM
Feb 2016

Something you'd think 100% of the people on this site would know.

brush

(53,764 posts)
18. The title of your OP about dems only having won the presidential vote SC once since 1964
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 02:00 AM
Feb 2016

You don't see a problem with that?

We're going into a primary now not the presidential vote.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
23. I get that.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 02:21 AM
Feb 2016

My point is in response to the claims that NH and Iowa are meaningless and that only if Bernie wins SC can we take him seriously.

NanceGreggs

(27,813 posts)
29. You don't seem to really "get that".
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:55 AM
Feb 2016

The primaries are about states choosing the Dem nominee, and have nothing to do with the general.

If BS doesn't win in the remaining states, he WON'T be the nominee - and he won't be taken seriously if he's not.

NH an Iowa are "meaningless" in the sense that their demographics are not reflective of the Party at large. To be "taken seriously", BS has to win in states where the demographics are as diversified as the nation itself. THAT would be the proof that he appeals to all segments of Dem voters - black, white, Hispanic, Asian, etc. - and not just the overwhelmingly-white voters in Iowa and NH.

And you KNOW that, Bonobo.

 

Cheese Sandwich

(9,086 posts)
4. It's the first primary with a lot of black people. It's understood as the first big voice of African
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 12:59 AM
Feb 2016

Americans in the Democratic nominee selection process. So that's one of the reasons it is significant. NH and Iowa are very white. Nevada is more diverse but SC is what it is.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
9. Black people in SC are different than Black people in other states
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:03 AM
Feb 2016

Just as White people are different from state to state.

South Carolina is South Carolina.

 

Cheese Sandwich

(9,086 posts)
14. Team Hillary is hyping it because they expect to win there by a huuuuge margin
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:19 AM
Feb 2016

It's politics. They want to hype up the importance of something they expect to win really big.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
17. Yep! Iowa and NH = "Yawn, they're white".
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:22 AM
Feb 2016

They are hanging onto a desperate hope that the disparity between white voters and black voters will continue.

But, overall, it is not a smart strategy to keep saying "Fuck White people. They're not important."

 

bettyellen

(47,209 posts)
24. Just delete this crap ---> ""Fuck White people. They're not important.""
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:29 AM
Feb 2016

Go home, you're embarrassing Bernie.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
26. You clearly misunderstand.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:32 AM
Feb 2016

I didn't say "Fuck White people. They're not important."

Nor do I say that anyone here says that explicitly.

But the prevailing message from some Hill supporters that Iowa and NH don't matter because of the amount of White people is not a good message.

Response to Bonobo (Reply #26)

TheBlackAdder

(28,182 posts)
30. Another act of censorship, preventing discourse from playing out. (Pretend everything's fine.)
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:58 AM
Feb 2016

REASON FOR ALERT

This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.

ALERTER'S COMMENTS

This is nothing but a personal attack. "Race baiting", "stuck in slime". Please hide.

JURY RESULTS

You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Wed Feb 10, 2016, 03:55 AM, and the Jury voted 4-3 to HIDE IT.

Juror #1 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #2 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Just so folks are aware that juries with Bernie supporters serving on them are not biased, I vote not to hide this comment. bettyellen is posting some hard truths and that poster should take note of and think twice about how offensive their posts have been in this thread.
Juror #3 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: This thread :_(
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: Based off of the discussion at hand, there is nothing inappropriate with this comment. If there are discussions that an evoke passion, those passions must be carried out to their logical conclusions--else there will just be the illusion of resolution. Just like using "n-word," when calling out its use, actually aids and abets the writer by masking the ugliness of the word's use--removing the power of the exposition. This comment should remain.
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given

 

1StrongBlackMan

(31,849 posts)
34. Except no one is saying that ...
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 08:13 AM
Feb 2016

perhaps you should examine why it is, that is what you are "hearing".

BeyondGeography

(39,367 posts)
6. That was the Clinton argument against Obama in '08
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:01 AM
Feb 2016

He wins mostly red states and loses the big blue ones!

Whatever.

Response to Bonobo (Original post)

Response to CobaltBlue (Reply #7)

 

HooptieWagon

(17,064 posts)
32. This^
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 05:21 AM
Feb 2016

Only twice since 1976 has South Carolina primary winner gone on to win the nomination. And neither the Democratic candidate or South Carolina primary winner is going to carry South Carolina in the General Election. IOW, South Carolina is pretty far down the totem pole when it comes to being a bellweather state.

uponit7771

(90,335 posts)
11. PoC went to Hillary by 25% above Sanders after 3 months of campaiging in IA... he has 3 weeks to
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:11 AM
Feb 2016

... win over PoC in SC where his numbers are where the GOPs pols are

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
13. His numbers will improve.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:14 AM
Feb 2016

I strongly believe that some of the support going to Clinton is because he remains the presumptive nominee.

As that chips away, so too will her numbers.

And that is not rank speculation. Her numbers have not gone up as this Primary has gone on. Only down.

This is a terrible, terrible sign of things to come for your candidate.

In the end, as a deep red state, I personally attach as much significance to the will of the SC populace as I do to other deep red states.

uponit7771

(90,335 posts)
22. +1, post of the night... I don't see how people are still minimizing the PoC vote in the US seeing
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 02:20 AM
Feb 2016

...it mathematically reached a critical mass during the mid 2000s.

uponit7771

(90,335 posts)
33. Down 2 billion, that's irrelevant to the point that were he spent a lot o time campaigning and PoC
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 08:07 AM
Feb 2016

... heard his message they didn't like it by a wide margin.

He was known and had name recognition so those to factors didn't exist in IA

uponit7771

(90,335 posts)
38. It does, they knew who Sanders was... heard his message and voted against it in large numbers
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 12:15 PM
Feb 2016

... that's significant no?

Beacool

(30,247 posts)
12. One word: Delegates.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 01:13 AM
Feb 2016

Bernie Sanders will win at least 13 of the Democratic delegates in New Hampshire and Hillary Clinton will win at least nine. Two delegates haven't yet been allocated.

In the overall race for delegates, Clinton has 394, thanks in large part to endorsements from superdelegates — party officials who can support the candidate of their choice.

Sanders has 42 delegates.

It takes 2,382 delegates to win the Democratic nomination for president.

Major Hogwash

(17,656 posts)
28. That was because of the 1964 Civil Rights Act.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 04:53 AM
Feb 2016

Same thing is true for Idaho . . . this frickin' state has gone for the Republican candidate ever since 1964.
It's enough to make me puke!

Gothmog

(145,086 posts)
35. Because South Carolina has 53 delegates compared to NH's 24
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 10:29 AM
Feb 2016

Texas has almost three times the number of delegates as Iowa and New Hampshire combined. The purpose of the primary process is to win delegates and South Carolina has more delegates than New Hampshire.

MineralMan

(146,284 posts)
36. Simple. Every state has Democrats in it.
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 10:40 AM
Feb 2016

Democrats are represented at the national convention, regardless of which state they live in. South Carolina sends 59 delegates to the convention. 53 of those are pledged delegates, selection proportionally to the primary voting.

That's more delegates than either Iowa or New Hampshire, so that state's Democrats are truly more important than either of the other two states. More delegates = more importance in selecting the nominee.

Whether South Carolina votes in the General Election for Democratic Presidents or not is irrelevant to the Democratic Party nominating process. The Democrats in SC have the right to be represented, according to the population of their state, basically.

The Presidential nomination is a national process. All 50 states are represented at the convention.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
43. Because every state's Democrats should have a voice in picking our nominee
Wed Feb 10, 2016, 12:21 PM
Feb 2016

Not just the states we expect to win or battle for in the GE.

Not sure why this is hard to understand.

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