We Ask America Poll: Obama up by 4 in Colorado & 10 in New Mexico

[WI_DEM]

Colorado
The Centennial State’s electorate is a vibrant mix of aging hippies, current and retired military and nearly every walk of life in between. The eclectic mixture makes Colorado a tough state to predict. Here are our results from our last poll:

Poll type: Automated Date: Sept. 25-27, 2012 - Participants: 1,273Likely Voters - Margin of Error: ± 2.8%
PRESIDENT Barack Obama Mitt Romney Gary Johnson Undecided
ALL VOTERS 49.3% 45.5% 1.3% 3.9%
GOP ONLY 15.9% 80.1% 0.9% 3.1%
DEM ONLY 85.2% 12.5% 0.2% 2.1%
IND ONLY 42.3% 47.3% 2.9% 7.5%

As with all our polls, the topline results have been weighted with our propriety formula using 65 different criteria. We’re providing the self-described party affiliation cross-tabs since so many have asked for it. Again, these affiliations are self-described and not used in our weighting system.

New Mexico
While some thought New Mexico would be in play this fall (George W. Bush barely won here in 2004), the Land of Enchantment is clearly leaning left in the presidential and Senate race (Democrat Martin Heinrich vs. Republican Heather Wilson) this year:

Poll type: Automated Date: Sept. 25-27, 2012 - Participants: 1,258 Likely Voters - Margin of Error: ± 2.85%
PRESIDENT Barack Obama Mitt Romney Gary Johnson Undecided
ALL VOTERS 50.9% 40.6% 3.9% 4.6%
GOP ONLY 11.6% 82.7% 2.3% 3.4%
DEM ONLY 81.5% 12.5% 2.0% 4.0%
IND ONLY 36.8% 44.5% 9.2% 9.5%
****** ****** ****** ****** ******
SENATE Martin Heinrich Heather Wilson Undecided
ALL VOTERS 52.3% 40.8% 6.9%
GOP ONLY 16.9% 79.4% 3.7%
DEM ONLY 81.3% 14.5% 4.2%
IND ONLY 41.2% 48.9% 9.9%

The only real surprise to us was that former NM Governor Gary Johnson isn’t doing better here. While New Mexico has been leaning left, Johnson was pulling down double digits early in the summer but has clearly faded since. His presence on the ticket was once believed to be a problem for Mitt Romney. Now, his meager draw isn’t taking enough chunks to matter, and Barack Obama is cruising toward the finish line.

http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/01/western-front/

[janx]

1. The only reason NM got lumped into some kind of toss-up status was that the local

paper conducted a poll with a ridiculously low sample and found it close.

As far as Gary Johnson goes...not too many people even remember him or think about him.

GO MARTIN!!!

[Samjm]

2. CO..

CO is a tough state to peg. We have both uber-liberal Boulder and the HQ for Focus on the Family down in CO Springs. Add in a touch of wild west independence and you get all kinds of interesting things.

[ProudToBeBlueInRhody]

3. NM was never a toss-up....

....even when Obama was struggling early this year.

Colorado worried me for a bit, but I think Obama wins it by 4.