Statewide opinion polling for the Democratic Party presidential primaries, 2016

[Alfresco]

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Statewide_opinion_polling_for_the_Democratic_Party_presidential_primaries,_2016



Key: GREEN - Hillary Clinton 25 states + 7 shared

BLUE - Bernie Sanders 3 states + 7 shared

GREY - No polling data in last six months 15 states & D.C.

[Renew Deal]

1. A big win for Hillary in any one of the 4 big states is probably enough to put her over

If she sweeps, FL, NY, CA, and TX, she will win running away. Obama needed a big win in just SC to put it away in 2008.

[NurseJackie]

2. Thank GOD Hillary will win this and be our nominee!

She's light years ahead of the competition. So much more competent and knowledgeable!

[cali]

10. Hillary is a disaster for us. I've said for over a decade

that if she's ever the nominee, she'll lose. She is a dream for the pukes to run against.

[Stuckinthebush]

3. Supertuesday wraps it up for her

Even if Sanders wins both Iowa and NH, the demographics of SC and most super tuesday states favors Clinton. Her committed super delegates are already close to 500 while Sanders has 2.

It is fun to speculate about momentum and possibilities, but the probability is a Clinton delegate count after March that will be insurmountable for Sanders.

[NurseJackie]

6. Yep! Super Tuesday will clearly show us how this will ultimately play out. Even though ...

... on that day, Sanders will still (technically) have a mathematical pathway to the nomination... that is to say, the majority of the delegates will not have been officially won by Hillary... it will be unrealistic for the Sanders campaign to expect much from the delegates that do remain "uncommitted".

Before March is out, that "technical" possibility will become an IMPOSSIBILITY. Hillary will have the nomination and it will be over for Sanders.

Sanders will concede (or withdraw, or suspend) and he'll graciously endorse Hillary! And, I fully expect that his devoted fans will ALSO follow his lead and get on board to help Hillary defeat Trump.

I'm very much looking forward to that day when we can all be friends again.

[Stuckinthebush]

7. Who do you think will be her VP pick?

Sanders? He would bring the progressive energy. Perhaps Castro. Who is the best choice for strategic purposes?

[NurseJackie]

8. I'm not certain about who it will be ...

... but I'm fairly certain that it will not be Sanders. There's a balance between making a "strategic" choice and making a choice that creates an effective leadership team. Obviously, in modern historical context, that hasn't always been the case with other VP picks... but the oil-and-water aspect of a Clinton/Sanders ticket would be disastrous.

[SunSeeker]

4. California is Hillary country!

[Alfresco]

5. Florida is too.

[reformist2]

9. I didn't know Bernie was closing in on Hillary in Ohio!

The recent poll this was based on had Hillary up over Bernie, but 53% to 37%. But this poll is already a couple of weeks old...