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Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:18 PM

Clinton expected to beat all comers in November, Sanders expected to lose to Trump -among all voters

Clinton Seen as Winner in November; A Trump Presidency Inspires Anxiety (POLL)
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/clinton-winner-november-trump-presidency-inspires-anxiety-poll/story?id=36555715
Most Americans expect that Hillary Clinton would prevail against her leading GOP opponent in November, while Bernie Sanders’ chances are rated less well. The thought of Donald Trump as president inspires high levels of public anxiety.

A new ABC News/Washington Post poll also finds Americans divided about the need for a third party in this country – but not so divided about a potential independent run by Trump, should he fail to win the GOP nomination. Fewer than a quarter say they’d even consider voting for him as an independent candidate for president.

With Trump as the GOP nominee vs. Clinton, 54 percent of Americans say they’d expect Clinton to win (42% think Trump would win_Bill USA); among registered voters (a more GOP-leaning group), Clinton has 52 percent support. Clinton’s seen by much wider margins as beating Ted Cruz or Marco Rubio. Sanders, for his part, is seen as beating Cruz or Rubio – but potentially losing to Trump.

(Those polled 46% expect Sanders would beat Trump. While 49% of those polled think Sanders would lose._Bill USA)

this poll was conducted for ABC by Langer Research Associates.








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Reply Clinton expected to beat all comers in November, Sanders expected to lose to Trump -among all voters (Original post)
Bill USA Jan 2016 OP
NurseJackie Jan 2016 #1
RobertEarl Jan 2016 #4
Bill USA Jan 2016 #8
randys1 Jan 2016 #2
Bill USA Jan 2016 #10
randys1 Jan 2016 #11
Bill USA Jan 2016 #17
daleanime Jan 2016 #3
RobertEarl Jan 2016 #5
daleanime Jan 2016 #9
RobertEarl Jan 2016 #15
daleanime Jan 2016 #18
Bill USA Jan 2016 #19
Fawke Em Jan 2016 #22
HerbChestnut Jan 2016 #6
OilemFirchen Jan 2016 #24
HerbChestnut Jan 2016 #33
OilemFirchen Jan 2016 #34
Splinter Cell Jan 2016 #7
Vinca Jan 2016 #12
reformist2 Jan 2016 #13
Jarqui Jan 2016 #14
Persondem Jan 2016 #16
libdem4life Jan 2016 #23
dinkytron Jan 2016 #25
Jarqui Jan 2016 #28
arcane1 Jan 2016 #30
ljm2002 Jan 2016 #35
jfern Jan 2016 #20
DefenseLawyer Jan 2016 #21
arcane1 Jan 2016 #26
Art_from_Ark Jan 2016 #29
arcane1 Jan 2016 #31
frylock Jan 2016 #27
workinclasszero Jan 2016 #32

Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:20 PM

1. Little wonder that Republicans want to face Bernie in the General Election!

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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #1)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:25 PM

4. Obama can't win~!!

 

Yall sound like you are happy that Bernie might lose.

Do yall see what you look like? I don't think you do.

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Response to NurseJackie (Reply #1)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:32 PM

8. they're doing everything they can to keep Hillary from being nominated. GOPers 4 Bernie are quite

enthusiastic in their advocacy for Bernie. You can tell by the number of pro-Sanders comments that are nothing but ATTACK Clinton posts versus posts which are positive appeals for Bernie based on his policies.

There are none better at demonizing the opposition than the GOP. (they can't wait to throttle Bernie)


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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:22 PM

2. I think I saw a UFO in my bedroom last night, but nobody believes me so

what I or anybody else thinks is meaningless.

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Response to randys1 (Reply #2)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:40 PM

10. careful. Bernie supporters are VERY SENSITIVE to sardonic comments about them. They call it "heresy"

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Response to Bill USA (Reply #10)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:41 PM

11. Oh Bill...Bernie supporters for the most part are just like you and me, sincere and

decent people.

Some are assholes, but that applies to Hillary supporters too.

Now, as to my UFO, I saw it and i dont care what ANYBODY says!

I was paralyzed at the time (this is an actual phenomena called sleep paralysis)





to be honest it wasnt last night, it was about 10 yrs ago...

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Response to randys1 (Reply #11)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:08 PM

17. I never said they were insincere or indecent. Many seem to be True Believers though.


And There IS a huge difference between Democrats for Bernie and GOPers 'for' Bernie who want at all cost to NOT TO FACE CLINTON.

Please do not try to ascribe hostile or supercilious feelings toward Democrats for Bernie (or anybody) to me. My only animus is toward GOPers 'for' Bernie and those who post like them. By that I mean those who maintain McCarthyist attacks against Clinton (or anybody), especially as the whole sum of their advocacy for Sanders. I do not respond well to those who post innuendo as fact and as the basis for character assassination of anyone. Nor do I respond well to those who prefer to censor others who hold opinions they disagree with. This is contemptible, reprehensible and unacceptable behavior.

No comment re your UFO, but as to True Believer check out the link provided, if interested.





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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:23 PM

3. Keep telling yourself this....

isn't kind of sad that you're hoping voters don't show up?

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Response to daleanime (Reply #3)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:26 PM

5. Really

 

What's up with these people? They can't say anything nice about H so they profess nothing but DOOM!

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Response to RobertEarl (Reply #5)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:38 PM

9. Pardon me, but the OP hasn't a call for Hillary's good points....

she has many. It has a statement that she would beat everyone this November, and that Bernie would lose to tRump.

1-I think Hillary would win over any of the republican candidates, I have said so repeatedly. But it wouldn't be easy and it would definitely be a drag down on the ticket. I know you don't like it, but she does not excite the base of the democratic party and a chance to vote against her would pull republicans out of the wood works.

2-How is stating my opinion on the matter "nothing but DOOM!".

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Response to daleanime (Reply #9)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:56 PM

15. Not you~~~the OP

 

H will be the death of the party if she is the candidate

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Response to RobertEarl (Reply #15)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:16 PM

18. Ah...my apologies....

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Response to RobertEarl (Reply #15)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:16 PM

19. LOL, ....

Democrats would be insane to nominate Bernie Sanders (or why NOT to offer a lamb to the GOP)
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511078927


[font size="+1"]In his article, Dana Milbank addresses the unpleasant fact of how good the GOP is at demonizing opponents. We have seen the attack dogs hounding Hillary Clinton for a couple of decades. We all need to remember that with many people if you repeat a lie often enough they will begin to think it's a reality. THis works with, sorry to say it, many people (most are known as "the GOP base" but they are not limited to that group).

Nobody knows this better than the GOP. They count on people being programmable to win elections - well along with voter suppression (and, in a pinch, the Supremes to abort an election and choose who the 'winner' is). It seems many people are blythely oblivious to this fiendish facility of the GOP in their enthusiasm for their candidate who nobody doubts (in Democratic circles) is a good man. The Dana Milbank article could serve as a good medicament for those enthralled by reveries of Sir Good-at-Heart being victorious over the monstrous malevolence of the GOP - if they are open to his knowledgeable advice (and entreaty?).
(more)

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Response to RobertEarl (Reply #15)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:20 PM

22. Yep.

Millennials won't show up, many liberals won't bother or will go Green and, hell, if she's indicted, she'll be lucky if the 40 or so on DU that love her vote for her.

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:29 PM

6. This just shows how disconnected folks are with what's actually happening on the ground

 

Bernie beats the republicans by wider margins than Hillary in every recent poll.

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Response to HerbChestnut (Reply #6)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:22 PM

24. Really?

This poll sez different. As do others.

"Every" is not exactly subject to interpretation.

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Response to OilemFirchen (Reply #24)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 08:50 PM

33. This isn't a poll on who people support

 

It's a poll of who people *think* will win. Big difference.

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Response to HerbChestnut (Reply #33)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 09:02 PM

34. Big difference? Maybe.

When there are a baker's dozen of Republican candidates, a poll attempting to predict actual head-to-head contests is useless. This poll, reflecting the public's expectations is arguably useful.

There are also, as I mentioned, voter polls which suggest that Clinton fares better against some or all of the Republican candidates. They're just as useless. But they exist, so "every" poll showing Sanders dominating the Republican field is demonstrably false.

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:30 PM

7. Total bullshit.

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:43 PM

12. This election is weirder than any other we've ever seen.

Even though I support Bernie, I'd put my money on Trump if I was a betting person. Terrifying, but true. If he runs against Hillary it will be a nightmare. Look what he did to first Jeb, then Carson, then Cruz and now Rubio. It'll be one long smear for months on end and the gullible American people will fall for it. Wait and see.

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:43 PM

13. What a pathetic poll. Not who do you actually want, but who do you think will win?

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 06:49 PM

14. Lets see:

Real Clear Poll of Polls (bold name is better)

National
Trump vs. Clinton +2.7
Trump vs. Sanders +5.3

Cruz vs. Clinton +1.3
Cruz vs. Sanders +3.3

Rubio +2.5 vs. Clinton
Rubio +1 vs. Sanders


New Hampshire
Trump vs. Clinton +7.7
Trump vs. Sanders +20.7

Cruz vs. Clinton +3.3
Cruz vs. Sanders +20.3

Rubio +4.2 vs. Clinton
Rubio vs. Sanders +13.7

Iowa (older polls)
Trump vs. Clinton +5.0
Trump vs. Sanders +8.0

Cruz +3.5 vs. Clinton
Cruz vs. Sanders +3.0

Rubio +6.6 vs. Clinton
Rubio +3.0 vs. Sanders

In those nine matchups, using poll of polls results, Sanders does better than Clinton against the GOP all nine times.

The top post is an unsubstantiated pipe dream desperately trying to hold her supporters. If Hillary is so much more electable, she should be clobbering Sanders in Iowa and New Hampshire and doing better than the GOP rivals. But she has been unable to do that in any of the above. It's no contest. Sanders is the more electable candidate.

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Response to Jarqui (Reply #14)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:07 PM

16. Sanders and the GOP are in a honeymoon phase. If the GOP media machine ever turned its guns on him

those Sanders numbers would drop like a rock. He is maxed out right now.

Clinton has been taking their crap for years and still does well against them. She would do even better in a GE election format where it's 1 on 1, and a stark contrast can be drawn with whatever member of the Klown Kar they nominate.

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Response to Persondem (Reply #16)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:21 PM

23. Sander and the GOP Honeymoon ???? Karl Rove's fingerprints are all over the place.

 

Or maybe 12th dimensional chess? Sanders Maxed out? Half the country hasn't even seen him yet. Hillary, on the other hand, I disagree as the Republicans of today and the Clinton of today is totally a different story. All they have to do is start talking about Bill. I'm sorry, I hate it, but it's the truth. It's already worked. Clinton Fatigue Syndrome is already starting.

So, I kind of think you have it backwards. And 60% or more of Americans are just fine with socialism, as Bernie portrays it, so they don't have much on that. In fact, it's backfired...who knew that Social Security and Medicare were socialist...oh, and a few other publicly funded perks we have.

And just change the Sweden/Denmark et al and put in FDR, and it changes even futher.

That train has left the station.

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Response to Persondem (Reply #16)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:29 PM

25. Big Media Ooga-booga won't work. Not this time.

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Response to Persondem (Reply #16)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:37 PM

28. I think it's largely the opposite

They have volumes of Clinton lies, flip-flops and scandals to remind voters of. That history has a number of people locked in and hating her - no matter what. She can never get really high in the polls because she has an established ceiling. The GOP have lots of daily ammunition for the general election that they have not fired to cut her down. They'll reply her lies to the Benghazi family members, her lies about her emails, sinister spin on the Clinton foundation, etc - not new material for those that follow the news but new material for voters who do not follow the news closely. And more than a reminder for all. My fear is they'll render her toxic.

Bernie's trend is a pretty steady upward climb. A lot of folks don't know him well so he's lower in the national polls with lots of room to soar. Like New Hampshire and Iowa, he's going to rise as his campaign comes to the primary states that follow and he gets the national exposure he's started to receive for making the race with Hillary competitive.

The thing you don't have with Bernie that you do with Hillary is a lot of lies, flip-flops and scandals. He's like Obama in that way. There's more Teflon to him as a candidate. Obama had a flaw in the eyes of racists - the color of his skin. Bernie has a flaw in his platform - describing himself as a Democratic Socialist will attract GOP ads describing him as a commie. A percentage of the GOP will buy that just like a percentage of the GOP were racist against Obama. But he can prevail over that like Obama prevailed over the color of his skin.

It's hard for the GOP to go after Bernie on many of his policies in a serious way because they're nearly all very popular with the American people. Bernie has volumes of real facts to go after the GOP - to counter punch and make those shots stick.

In a character contest, Bernie wins over Hillary handily. The favorability and untrustworthy polls tell us that many times over. Bernie has a better record on judgement.

I think Bernie's the best horse in this particular race.

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Response to Persondem (Reply #16)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:42 PM

30. That talking point has expired for this week.

 

Doesn't anyone get the memo anymore?

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Response to Jarqui (Reply #14)

Fri Jan 29, 2016, 07:44 PM

35. Hmmm, maybe Politifact ought to be renamed...

...to Politifalse.

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:19 PM

20. Doesn't mean shit compared to actual general election polls

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:19 PM

21. I'm pretty sure even Bess expected Dewey would win in '48 n/t

 

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:31 PM

26. We're polling on who people "expect" to win? WTF good is that?

 

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Response to arcane1 (Reply #26)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:41 PM

29. It's psy-ops

They're trying to make this bullshit poll a self-fulfilling prophesy.

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Response to Art_from_Ark (Reply #29)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:54 PM

31. It's not like she can win with "She has the best policies" after all.

 

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:35 PM

27. It's in the bag, just like it was last June.

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Response to Bill USA (Original post)

Thu Jan 28, 2016, 07:55 PM

32. This is why republicans are praying for a Bernie

 

Sanders win over Hillary.

Anyone who can't see that...doesn't want to see that!

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