New Iowa Poll has Clinton 47% and Sanders 45% - But it's actually great news for Sanders

[Nanjeanne]

No I'm not crazy. If you look at the methodology - it's incredible the gains Sanders has made:

Polling done from Jan 5-22

722 registered voters. All landline. 51.4% women and only 48.6% men. And this is the best: 80.1% were over 50 years old! Only 3.9% were under 30.

The over 50 are Clinton's sweet spot. If Bernie is that close with so few of the people polled under 30 - that bodes extremely well for Sanders.

Compare this to the previous poll they did in Nov.: Clinton at 49.5%, and Sanders at 27.8%. This is a really big jump for Sanders!

Bring on the under 30 and Sanders is going to do really really well in Iowa!


http://www.news.iastate.edu/news/2016/01/26/caucuspoll

[lob1]

1. That's good news, Nanjeanne, Welcome to DU. And K&R.

[roguevalley]

12. thank you, nanjeanne. welcome and make yourself at home. :D

[nashville_brook]

3. holy crap...80% over 50. blahahahahaahaaaaa!

someone's going to have some 'splaining to do to some angry big donors when that "easy win" in Iowa goes poof.

[onecaliberal]

4. ALL Landline. That tells me it's flawed. Most of those voting for Bernie do not have landlines.

[jkbRN]

5. Great news!!!

Thanks for the methodological and demographic breakdown!

[Vincardog]

6. It is the news Bernie needs to keep his campaign motivated. We can't get complacent

[peacebird]

7. Excellent news! Thank you!

[thereismore]

8. Beautiful. It is good news indeed! nt

[thereismore]

9. Only 4% of polled people were under 30. Wooohooo! nt

[thereismore]

10. "Clinton and Fiorina were nearly equal on honesty"

Boy oh boy, that sounds bad.

[Nanjeanne]

11. To be fair

Republicans were asked about Fiorina and Dems about Clinton.

But comparing Clinton to Bernie on honesty it's Clinton 66.2 and Sanders 87

Given the high percentage of over 50 people - I think that's pretty amazing. The only category Clinton came out ahead was (drumroll please) strong leader (what a surprise because it's not like the media isn't banging our heads with that!). But even there the margin was pretty small - Clinton 82.3 and Sanders 73.7. Not horrible considering the age of the respondents!

[thereismore]

13. True dat. True dat. nt