Indiana Poll: Romney up by 6 with close race for Senate

[WI_DEM]

Republican candidate Mitt Romney holds a six-point lead over Democratic incumbent President Barack Obama in Indiana, 50% Romney to 44% Obama, in a poll of 707 registered voters statewide, conducted by YouGov.

In Indiana:
Partisan loyalty is strong on both sides, as 91% of Democrats are sticking with Obama and 92% of Republicans are voting for Romney.
Independents favor Romney, with 53% Romney and 38% Obama.
Women split, Obama 48%- Romney 47%, while men favor Romney by 53%-40%.
Obama leads in Marion County (Indianapolis), 67%-31%, and in the Northwest 54%-40%.
Romney leads in the South, Central Indiana and Indianapolis suburbs, at 57%-37%, 53%-39% and 63%-33% respectively.
The oldest voters age 65+ favor Romney (65%-29%). The youngest under age 30 favor Obama (57%-36%).
Overall, Obama has lost favor among 10% of Indianans who voted for him in 2008.

Republican Richard Mourdock currently holds a narrow lead over Democrat Joe Donnelly, 41%-38%, in the race to succeed Sen. Richard Lugar, whom Mourdock upset in the Republican primary.

http://today.yougov.com/news/2012/09/21/indiana/

[TroyD]

1. Winning the Senate race would be the best thing

Sure it would be nice if Obama could inch out a win like he did in 2008, but the odds are against it.

I do hope that a full effort is being made on the Senate seat though, since that seems possible.

Perhaps Bill Clinton should make a trip and spend a day in Indiana with Donnelly?

[silvershadow]

2. I don't understand why odds are against Obama this time here? Especially after all the

distaters and near-disasters Mitch Daniels brought. The demographics haven't changed here that much that I know of, so it's something I am thinking about.

[Hippo_Tron]

3. Obama's '08 win in Indiana was an anomaly

And it's the kind of state you only pickup in a total wash like last time. That said, the state has to be trending in the right direction, because Clinton didn't win it either time.

[silvershadow]

4. Oh, I get that 08 was supposedly an anomaly. To my mind, though,

it's more of a bellwether. Well, I had hoped that anyway. I just don't see that the issues have changed at all for Hoosiers. To see the polling now going against the nationwide trends just shows there must be something in that corn they're feeding us...lol Seriously, though, disappointed here.

[davidpdx]

5. I agree and doubt it could be repeated this year

I think turnout and excitement probably contributed to Obama's win there in 08'. It also maybe the nutjob turnout was lower. The nutjob turnout will be high this time around and that is going to make the difference.

My expectations are the same for North Carolina even though the polls are close, I think the hard core nutjob turnout is going to be overwhelming.

I also don't think Wisconsin is a swing state as the media and the Romney campaign are trying to portray it.

Ohio, Florida, and Virginia are the key ones for Obama and will put the nail in Romney's coffin. There is no path once Obama takes those three because he would be at 307 with only four small states left (NH, CO, NV, and IA).

[LiberalFighter]

6. Lot more effort going in race than when Bayh ran.

[TroyD]

8. Speaking of Bayh

There was no need for him to step down in the first place a few years ago. He did it at short notice to the DNC, and as Rachel Maddow said at the time, basically screwed us out of a Senate seat.

[LiberalFighter]

7. Those splits don't seem right.