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hatrack

(59,584 posts)
Wed Feb 15, 2012, 02:20 PM Feb 2012

2011 Avg. Arctic Temps 4.1F Above 1951-80 Historic Average; Sea Ice Volume Lowest On Record



Last year the Arctic, which is warming faster than anywhere else on Earth due to global climate change, experienced its warmest twelve months yet. According to recent data by NASA, average Arctic temperatures in 2011 were 2.28 degrees Celsius (4.1 degrees Fahrenheit) above those recorded from 1951-1980. As the Arctic warms, imperiling its biodiversity and indigenous people, researchers are increasingly concerned that the region will hit climatic tipping points that could severely impact the rest of the world. A recent commentary in Nature Climate Change highlighted a number of tipping points that keep scientists awake at night.

"If set in motion, [tipping points] can generate profound climate change which places the Arctic not at the periphery but at the core of the Earth system," Professor Duarte, a climatologist with the University of Western Australia's Ocean Institute and co-author other paper, said in a press release. "There is evidence that these forces are starting to be set in motion. This has major consequences for the future of human kind as climate change progresses."

One of the tipping points is sea ice loss. The Arctic wasn't just relatively hot last year—beating the previous record set in 2010 by 0.17 degrees Celsius (0.3 degrees Fahrenheit)—it also experienced the lowest sea ice volume yet recorded, and the second-lowest extent. Sea ice is essential to many Arctic species, from polar bears to walrus, and narwhals to seals. In just over 30 years, sea ice volume has dropped precipitously, declining by 76 percent from 1979 (16,855 cubic kilometers) to 2011 (4,017 cubic kilometers). This loss of sea ice also leads to greater regional and global warming, as the Arctic's sea reflects the sun's light back into space, cooling not only the region but the world.

EDIT

Governments have responded to warming in the Arctic with a resource race. Governments with Arctic territories plan to drastically expand oil and gas exploitation, utilize new shipping routes, and increase mining. The industrialization of the Arctic, according to Duarte, may only accelerate impacts on the fragile region and push tipping points.

EDIT

Read more: http://news.mongabay.com/2012/0213-hance_arctic_tippingpoints.html?utm_source=dlvr.it&utm_medium=twitter#ixzz1mTZHXBfx
8 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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2011 Avg. Arctic Temps 4.1F Above 1951-80 Historic Average; Sea Ice Volume Lowest On Record (Original Post) hatrack Feb 2012 OP
It's getting close ... Nihil Feb 2012 #1
Enjoy cherry picking? guardian Feb 2012 #2
Because arctic ice is all formed in the contiguous US, right? XemaSab Feb 2012 #3
If it was, it would still be humped Dead_Parrot Feb 2012 #6
The link talks specifically about the Actic, not the continental US as your link does NickB79 Feb 2012 #4
Mr. Flat Earth gets it wrong. Again. truebrit71 Feb 2012 #5
Enjoy reading comprehension? This is about the Arctic, not the contiguous states. hatrack Feb 2012 #7
It was cooler in the arctic during that period too guardian Feb 2012 #8
 

Nihil

(13,508 posts)
1. It's getting close ...
Thu Feb 16, 2012, 08:32 AM
Feb 2012

... to the point where the maximum volume in Winter will be less than
the minimum volume in Summer a couple of decades ago ...


 

guardian

(2,282 posts)
2. Enjoy cherry picking?
Thu Feb 16, 2012, 01:27 PM
Feb 2012

Wow. It was warmer than temps from 1951-1980. I just so happens that that period was especially cold. This is about as significant as saying this afternoon is warmer than last night. FAIL


http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/bibliography/related_files/higgins0201.pdf

During the 1950s, temperatures were cooler than normal in the northwest and warmer than normal in the southeast. This pattern was dominated by the strong La Nin˜a episode during the mid-1950s. From the 1950s to the 1960s, temperatures decreased over much of the United States, except in the West. During the 1970s, winter temperatures remained cooler than normal over much of the United States ... during the 1970s (not shown) indicated that very cold weather during the late 1970s, especially over the northern United States, dominated relatively warm weather that occurred during the early 1970s (in association with the 1972/73 El Nino).

NickB79

(19,233 posts)
4. The link talks specifically about the Actic, not the continental US as your link does
Thu Feb 16, 2012, 01:57 PM
Feb 2012

Comprehension fail.

 

guardian

(2,282 posts)
8. It was cooler in the arctic during that period too
Fri Feb 17, 2012, 03:17 AM
Feb 2012

But none of the doomers will acknowledge that either because it doesn't fit your earth is doomed fantasy.

http://www.arctic.noaa.gov/essay_walsh.html
"... including a cooling of the Arctic from the 1940s to the 1960s. "



http://icecap.us/images/uploads/Scientists_Counter_Latest_Arctic.pdf
"...a negative gradient (cooling — many Fairbanksans
remember the very cold winters in the 1960s) from 1940 to 1975"

http://carc.org/pubs/v15no5/2.htm
"... Over the period of instrumental or historic record, the northern hemisphere has experienced three distinct phases: a general warming trend from the 1880s until the 1940s, a period of cooling until the mid 1960s, .... The Canadian Arctic has reflected a similar pattern"


There are other references if you want to find them.







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