Hillary Clinton
Related: About this forumWorst case scenario: Split in MI + Big Win in MS = Increased Delegate Lead with 2 less states
That's the worst case scenario. Bernie cannot defeat the math.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)Hillary wins!
6chars
(3,967 posts)Clinton 1191 (719 pledged) out of 2383 needed to nominate. one more delegate and she is more than half way there.
Bernie 519 delegates.
jmowreader
(50,528 posts)At the start of the day, Hillary was 199 pledged delegates ahead. According to CNN's estimate, she'll be 223 ahead if this holds.
I'd prefer a win in Michigan - and we may still get one; Metro Detroit is still very early in its count - but a delegate gain works for me.
6chars
(3,967 posts)jmowreader
(50,528 posts)The Bernie camp claims Hillary can't win outside the South, which totally discounts Nevada. A fairly good-size victory for Hillary in Michigan would go a long way toward squelching that theory. Anything above five percent would be good, especially since the rural parts of Michigan seem to be breaking for Bernie just like they did in Nevada.
Yavin4
(35,421 posts)jmowreader
(50,528 posts)Yavin4
(35,421 posts)She beat him in his backyard.
George II
(67,782 posts)MSMITH33156
(879 posts)period. No way to sugar coat it.
Even if we squeak out a win, I certainly expected a comfortable, 10-pointish win. Bernie won this night, regardless of what happens.
If you want to play the math game, the race is over anyway, so we can take solace that in Philadelphia, Hillary will be giving a speech accepting the nomination. But in isolation, today was no good.
Not a good night for the Clinton campaign. She is vulnerable on trade.
Good night for the Sanders campaign, however it shakes out. Kudos to them.
Kaleva
(36,248 posts)Bernie is going to fall behind in the pledged delegate count.
Lisa0825
(14,487 posts)As opposed to posts like "The Worm Has Turned."
asuhornets
(2,405 posts)I'm sad but it's not over yet.