Some Mississippi & Michigan exit poll info

[book_worm]

As always take exit polls with a grain of salt--recall that Bernie was the winner of Massachusetts exit polls, but that HRC ended up winning the primary:

Mainline Democrats account for more than eight in 10 Democratic primary voters in Mississippi and seven in 10 in Michigan, with turnout among Democrats in Michigan down (and turnout among independents up) from 2008. In Mississippi, turnout among mainline Democrats is up from 2008.

Many more voters in Mississippi say Clinton’s views on the issues are about right than say so about Sanders (three-quarters vs. fewer than half). Fewer than one in 10 say Clinton’s too liberal, while nearly three in 10 think Sanders is too liberal. That’s similar to what we’ve seen in previous contests overall. But, in Michigan, slightly more than six in 10 think both candidates’ policies are about right.

In Mississippi, nearly twice as many voters think Clinton’s policy proposals are realistic as say the same about Sanders’. In Michigan, it’s much closer, seven in 10 for Clinton, six in 10 for Sanders.

Similarly, nearly twice as many voters in Mississippi trust Clinton than Sanders to handle race relations, while they’re nearly even on this in Michigan. Majorities in both states say race relations have gotten worse in the last few years.

Clinton continues to have some problems with perceptions of her honesty. In Michigan, only about six in 10 today say she’s honest and trustworthy, vs. eight in 10 who say so about Sanders. In Mississippi, she does much better, where three-quarters say she’s honest, as do seven in 10 of Sanders.

Nearly nine in 10 voters in Mississippi and eight in 10 in Michigan want the next president to be someone with experience in politics. Clinton’s won this group by more than 2-1 in this year’s previous primaries.

Majorities of voters in both states are women (reaching six in 10 in Mississippi). Women have outnumbered men across in the 2016 Democratic primaries, and have voted by 2-1 for Clinton in contests.

http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/live-democrats-exit-poll-analysis/story?id=37493541

[book_worm]

1. More...

Blacks account for six in 10 Mississippi Democratic primary voters in preliminary exit poll results, which if it holds, will be a record in the state, and similar to their turnout in South Carolina this year, where Hillary Clinton won by a wide margin on the strength of her performance among blacks. To date, Clinton’s won a remarkable 85 percent of black voters. In Michigan, turnout among blacks today is lower, two in 10 voters.

Seven in 10 Democratic voters in Mississippi want the next president to continue Barack Obama’s policies, vs. only slightly more than half in Michigan; Clinton has won nearly eight in 10 of these voters so far in 2016.

[book_worm]

2. more...

Roughly four in 10 voters in Michigan say electability or experience are most important to their vote, a group among which Clinton’s dominated in the past. But six in 10 say honesty or empathy are most important, voters who’ve been more likely to support Sanders (especially “honesty” voters) to date. In Mississippi, honesty/empathy was closer in importance to electability/experience.

Seven in 10 Democratic primary voters in Michigan would be satisfied with Sanders as the nominee, as would two-thirds with Clinton.

[NurseJackie]

3. Thank you.

[bravenak]

4. Thanks

[book_worm]

5. It is a bit misleading about the Independent vote being up compared to 2008 in Michigan...

Recall that there wasn't a competitive primary in Michigan in 2008--However, the Democratic National Committee determined that the date of the Michigan Democratic Primary violated the party rules and ultimately decided to sanction the state, stripping all 156 delegates and refusing to seat them at the convention. Barack Obama didn't compete in Michigan in 2008 due to this. So Independents had little reason to vote in the Democratic primary.

[GusBob]

6. Hmmmm I'm getting nervous about Michigan

Big turnout and lots of Indys

Could be a late night

[book_worm]

8. Maybe but 70% of turnout is Democrats

and if as in other states Hillary wins the Democratic vote overwhelmingly she should be favored.

[GusBob]

11. The second paragraph in reply #1

And the numbers in reply number 2 got me worried

[wysi]

12. I agree with your analysis

I think MI is going to be pretty close, based on this information.

[FloridaBlues]

18. Remember both parties are at the voting areas

Don't get too freaked out about it she'll win this state

[book_worm]

7. more...

ABC News Politics ?@ABCPolitics 3m3 minutes ago
Clinton has wide lead over Sanders among Mississippi voters in handling race relations, per preliminary exit polls:

[book_worm]

9. more...

ABC News Politics Retweeted
This Week ?@ThisWeekABC 14m14 minutes ago
7/10 Democratic Mississippi voters want next president to continue Pres. Obama’s policies http://abcn.ws/1TqpGDE

[UtahLib]

10. K&R

[beachbum bob]

13. pretty much what we expect

so no great surprises

[book_worm]

14. Michigan might be closer than some polls indicated.

[beachbum bob]

15. yep, expect to be closer than the 20+% gap

no doubt hillary will have it and pick up a good number of delegates.....today will be a good gain in both popular vote and delegate count for hillary....and we will hear about the sander's surge....lol

[FloridaBlues]

16. Not sure if I heard maddow correctly regarding Mississippi

Think she said if Bernie loses MS by less than 40-50 % that's means poc are softening to him! Are you kidding me
Did anyone else hear that ?

[LannyDeVaney]

17. Shoot, I'm greedy ...

I'm hoping he gets less than 15%, then he gets NOTHING.

[book_worm]

19. More...

CBS News Politics ?@CBSPolitics 52m52 minutes ago
More than 1/2 of Dem #MIprimary voters want next pres. to continue @POTUS' policies: http://cbsn.ws/24zybjn

52% say Continue Obama policies, 29% say more liberal policies & 13% say less liberal policies.