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Are there some cheerful interpretations.... (Original Post) LAS14 Mar 2016 OP
I wonder if matchups of Obama to McCain in 2008 radical noodle Mar 2016 #1
Tons. Treant Mar 2016 #2
Thank you. Cha Mar 2016 #7
It's months yet before such polls become reliable predictors. Chichiri Mar 2016 #3
Because most people don't know Sanders yet! FrenchieCat Mar 2016 #4
I don't think people grasp "the reality of this person being president" test jsmirman Mar 2016 #5
So true MSMITH33156 Mar 2016 #6
And, well-known GOP have already said they will vote for HRC obamanut2012 Mar 2016 #8

radical noodle

(7,997 posts)
1. I wonder if matchups of Obama to McCain in 2008
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:35 AM
Mar 2016

showed Obama winning? I kind of doubt it. It's way too early and honestly, the Republicans haven't been vetted except that now we know who are the biggest bullies.

Treant

(1,968 posts)
2. Tons.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 12:38 AM
Mar 2016

But the biggies:

1) It's too early. Most people aren't all that into it yet.

2) Trump (and the others) have mostly benefited from a real lack of vetting. That won't last.

3) Clinton has taken a preference hit in the Primaries. She'll rebound when Bernie is off the table (figure June).

Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
3. It's months yet before such polls become reliable predictors.
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:30 AM
Mar 2016

I would say after the conventions, but the conventions are earlier this year than in past years, so I'm not sure how that will affect things.

FrenchieCat

(68,867 posts)
4. Because most people don't know Sanders yet!
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:49 AM
Mar 2016

And although folks want to think there's nothing more to know, actually there's quite a bit, most of a quite devastating.

jsmirman

(4,507 posts)
5. I don't think people grasp "the reality of this person being president" test
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 01:58 AM
Mar 2016

that's why McCain pretty much guaranteed himself an asskicking by choosing Palin.

Lot's of stuff that's fun and good theater in the primaries turns real ugly when hit with the light of the day.

MSMITH33156

(879 posts)
6. So true
Wed Mar 2, 2016, 02:24 AM
Mar 2016

Hillary is also unique because she is a known quantity. You'll see much higher unfavorables, which hurts the polling.

If you wanted to guess at the general election, which it is very difficult to do, I would look at betting markets.

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